JUST · JST/USDT · daily
What happens to JUST after a breakout to a 90-day high?
Since 2020, JUST has shown a breakout to a 90-day high 29 times. In the 28 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 43% of the time, with a median move of −1.3%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for JST is +0.6%.
Weak evidence45
There is a gap, but once you allow for how many studies were run, a gap this large is luck about 68% of the time, so it should not be relied on.
By holding period
| After | Cases | Higher | Median move | Middle half | Ordinary median | Gap | By luck | Proof score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 29 | 45% | −0.1% | −2.8% to +1.2% | +0.2% | −0.3% | 81% | 17 |
| 3 days | 29 | 59% | +1.1% | −3.2% to +5.1% | +0.4% | +0.7% | 79% | 18 |
| 7 days | 28 | 43% | −1.3% | −7.6% to +2.3% | +0.6% | −2.0% | 68% | 45 |
| 14 days | 28 | 61% | +5.1% | −7.9% to +13.3% | +0.8% | +4.3% | 51% | 47 |
| 30 days | 28 | 57% | +1.3% | −7.2% to +18.5% | +0.7% | +0.6% | 98% | 15 |
“Ordinary median” is the median move of JST over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 23%).
Holding it for 7 days
Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.
Did it hold up over time?
Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 16 the gap over 7 days was −2.7%, and in the later 12 it was −2.0%. Same direction both times.
Every occurrence
One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.
| Date | Close | +1d | +7d | +30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2026 | $0.1451 | −0.6% | open | open |
| 3 Oct 2026 | $0.1383 | +1.2% | −0.6% | +1.5% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | $0.1221 | +0.6% | +8.6% | +15.6% |
| 15 Sep 2026 | $0.1159 | +0.9% | −2.9% | +13.6% |
| 5 Sep 2026 | $0.1103 | +0.4% | −0.3% | +23.2% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | $0.1071 | +1.2% | −2.1% | +6.2% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | $0.1049 | −1.6% | +1.1% | −5.2% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | $0.09956 | +2.9% | −2.1% | +0.7% |
| 27 May 2026 | $0.09584 | −2.8% | −22.9% | −14.4% |
| 20 May 2026 | $0.09387 | −2.8% | +2.1% | −13.2% |
| 13 May 2026 | $0.09152 | −1.0% | +2.6% | −17.7% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | $0.08676 | +2.7% | −6.0% | +11.0% |
The 12 most recent. All 29 are in the open data file.
The rule
Close above the highest high of the previous 90 days. A close above three months of highs is a standard trend-following entry.
Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.
The same signal on other coins
| Coin | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Gap | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 65% | +7.8% | +8.7% | Strong evidence · leans up | |
| 32 | 66% | +8.7% | +9.5% | Strong evidence · leans up | |
| 28 | 75% | +10.2% | +10.5% | Strong evidence · leans up | |
| 23 | 65% | +11.4% | +12.4% | Strong evidence · leans up | |
| 32 | 69% | +9.5% | +10.7% | Strong evidence · leans up | |
| 20 | 75% | +15.2% | +15.8% | Strong evidence · leans up | |
| 26 | 27% | −6.1% | −5.9% | Some evidence · leans down | |
| 23 | 57% | +9.0% | +10.2% | Some evidence · leans up |
Breakout to a 90-day high across all 94 coins
Other JUST signals
New signals are sealed in the public ledger at the daily close. Members see them immediately; everyone else sees them a day later.
See today's signals