Provyan
Home / JUST / 10% jump in a day

JUST · JST/USDT · daily

What happens to JUST after a 10% daily jump?

Since 2020, JUST has shown a 10% daily jump 37 times. In the 35 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 29% of the time, with a median move of −8.7%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for JST is +0.6%.

Strong evidence · leans down98

Even after allowing for every study on this site, a gap that size is luck about 1.9% of the time and it pointed the same way in the earlier and the later part of the history. The lean is downward.

Cases since 202037last on 21 Apr 2026
Higher after 7 days29%ordinary: 53%
Median 7-day move−8.7%ordinary: +0.6%
Could be luck1.9%allowing for 3,572 studies
Worst / best case−38% / +54%over 7 days
Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary JST drift
−30%−20%−10%0%+10% -5dsignal+7d+14d+30d
Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 36 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

AfterCasesHigherMedian moveMiddle halfOrdinary medianGapBy luckProof score
1 day3540%−1.5%−6.1% to +2.7%+0.2%−1.7%3.0%71
3 days3526%−5.4%−11.9% to +0.6%+0.4%−5.8%0.7%98
7 days3529%−8.7%−17.5% to +2.8%+0.6%−9.4%1.9%98
14 days3537%−6.6%−18.2% to +4.1%+0.8%−7.5%8.2%91
30 days3543%−7.9%−26.2% to +13.2%+0.7%−8.6%38%28

“Ordinary median” is the median move of JST over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: under 0.1%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−13.9%ordinary JST: −5.1%
1 case in 4 dipped past−25.0%before day 7
Fell 10% or more on the way66%ordinary: 25%
Typical best point+8.1%highest price within 7 days
Median after costs−9.0%ordinary: +0.3%
Ahead after costs29%ordinary: 52%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 21 the gap over 7 days was −6.3%, and in the later 14 it was −12.4%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

DateClose+1d+7d+30d
21 Apr 2026$0.08150+1.5%+4.1%+12.0%
12 Apr 2026$0.07906−4.3%−8.1%+14.1%
28 Jan 2026$0.04478−1.5%−8.7%+6.0%
27 Apr 2025$0.03896+2.8%−8.8%−7.9%
6 Jan 2025$0.04530−9.6%−17.0%−27.4%
3 Dec 2024$0.06488−16.4%−34.2%−37.9%
6 Mar 2024$0.04404−2.7%−1.1%−12.7%
1 Nov 2023$0.03864−7.8%−15.3%−18.6%
29 Sep 2023$0.02777−10.0%−15.0%+12.2%
3 Jun 2023$0.02715−6.3%−27.3%−16.2%
10 Nov 2022$0.02404−4.7%−14.8%−5.4%
14 Oct 2022$0.02877−5.9%+1.5%−26.7%

The 12 most recent. All 37 are in the open data file.

The rule

Daily close at least 10% above the previous close. A double-digit gain in one day pulls in momentum buyers and fear of missing out.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

CoinCasesHigher after 7dMedianGapVerdict
Phala Network4732%−8.1%−6.6%Strong evidence · leans down
Radworks3520%−9.3%−8.5%Strong evidence · leans down
Dogecoin6229%−5.6%−4.6%Strong evidence · leans down
Request3017%−8.4%−7.9%Strong evidence · leans down
TRON4646%−2.7%−3.4%Strong evidence · leans down
Shiba Inu4423%−6.4%−4.9%Strong evidence · leans down
Conflux6929%−7.4%−5.8%Strong evidence · leans down
Polkadot4743%−6.6%−5.6%Strong evidence · leans down

10% jump in a day across all 94 coins

Other JUST signals

Full JUST record

Want to know the moment this fires again?

New signals are sealed in the public ledger at the daily close. Members see them immediately; everyone else sees them a day later.

See today's signals
62 signals sealed at the last closeSee them