JUST signals: which ones have held up
19 common signals tested on every daily JST candle since 11 Aug 2020 (2,287 days). 2 signals show evidence of an effect on the following week. 5 signals did no better than picking days at random.
JST price · last close$0.142914 Nov 2026 close: $0.1429 (7d −0.7%)
RSI (14)54.1between 30 and 70
Volume vs 30-day average1.16×3× or more is a spike
Market buys, share of volume48.8%above 50%: buyers lifting offers
From all-time high−29%above the 200-day average
Trading signals, ranked by evidence
| Signal | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% jump in a day | 35 | 29% | −8.7% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 98 | Strong evidence · leans down | 21 Apr 2026 |
| 20% drop in a week | 23 | 61% | +7.0% | +0.6% | 7.2% | 87 | Strong evidence · leans up | 3 Jun 2026 |
| Volume spike on a green day | 54 | 39% | −2.3% | +0.6% | 25% | 54 | Weak evidence | 4 Jun 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, sellers in control | 26 | 35% | −3.3% | +0.6% | 31% | 50 | Weak evidence | 16 Oct 2025 |
| Extreme buy pressure | 60 | 62% | +1.6% | +0.6% | 79% | 48 | Weak evidence | 3 Nov 2026 |
| Extreme sell pressure | 47 | 49% | −0.3% | +0.6% | 86% | 48 | Weak evidence | 15 Oct 2026 |
| RSI drops below 30 | 16 | 56% | +5.7% | +0.6% | 29% | 48 | Weak evidence | 16 Mar 2025 |
| Volume spike on a red day | 21 | 43% | −3.0% | +0.6% | 44% | 46 | Weak evidence | 3 Jun 2026 |
| Breakout to a 90-day high | 28 | 43% | −1.3% | +0.6% | 68% | 45 | Weak evidence | 9 Nov 2026 |
| RSI rises above 70 | 32 | 50% | −0.5% | +0.6% | 83% | 44 | Weak evidence | 6 Oct 2026 |
| Five green days in a row | 25 | 64% | +2.6% | +0.6% | 71% | 43 | Weak evidence | 28 Sep 2026 |
| Capitulation: heavy drop on heavy volume | 10 | 40% | −6.9% | +0.6% | 22% | 36 | Weak evidence | 3 Jun 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, buyers in control | 32 | 44% | −2.0% | +0.6% | 49% | 24 | No better than chance | 22 Sep 2026 |
| Volatility squeeze | 25 | 32% | −2.7% | +0.6% | 42% | 23 | No better than chance | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 10% drop in a day | 33 | 52% | +0.2% | +0.6% | 95% | 18 | No better than chance | 3 Jun 2026 |
| Five red days in a row | 20 | 50% | +1.5% | +0.6% | 93% | 12 | No better than chance | 25 Aug 2026 |
| Breakdown to a 90-day low | 13 | 54% | +0.8% | +0.6% | 99% | 7 | No better than chance | 10 Oct 2025 |
| Golden cross | 7 | 43% | −0.1% | +0.6% | 83% | Too few cases | 26 Nov 2025 | |
| Death cross | 7 | 43% | −2.3% | +0.6% | 37% | Too few cases | 30 Sep 2025 |
After drops and rallies
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7% rise in a day | 62 | 39% | −5.2% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 100 | Strong evidence · leans down | 25 Sep 2026 |
| 20% rise in 3 days | 18 | 11% | −14.0% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 89 | Strong evidence · leans down | 27 Apr 2025 |
| 15% rise in a day | 16 | 13% | −14.9% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 88 | Strong evidence · leans down | 27 Apr 2025 |
| 30% rise in 7 days | 12 | 17% | −14.3% | +0.6% | 1.9% | 86 | Strong evidence · leans down | 3 Dec 2024 |
| 15% drop in 7 days | 40 | 63% | +4.1% | +0.6% | 25% | 56 | Some evidence · leans up | 3 Jun 2026 |
| 10% rise in 3 days | 68 | 44% | −1.4% | +0.6% | 40% | 51 | Weak evidence | 26 Sep 2026 |
| 7% drop in a day | 71 | 46% | −0.7% | +0.6% | 67% | 49 | Weak evidence | 15 Oct 2026 |
| 5% rise in a day | 103 | 47% | −0.4% | +0.6% | 69% | 48 | Weak evidence | 25 Sep 2026 |
| 20% drop in 3 days | 14 | 64% | +7.3% | +0.6% | 18% | 37 | Weak evidence | 3 Jun 2026 |
| 40% drop in 30 days | 12 | 33% | −1.1% | +0.6% | 84% | 36 | Weak evidence | 18 May 2022 |
| 15% drop in a day | 14 | 64% | +7.3% | +0.6% | 19% | 34 | No better than chance | 3 Jun 2026 |
| 20% rise in 7 days | 34 | 50% | −1.1% | +0.6% | 68% | 22 | No better than chance | 30 Sep 2026 |
| 5% drop in a day | 105 | 50% | +0.2% | +0.6% | 92% | 21 | No better than chance | 15 Oct 2026 |
| 10% drop in 3 days | 62 | 55% | +0.9% | +0.6% | 96% | 21 | No better than chance | 3 Jun 2026 |
| 30% drop in 30 days | 31 | 45% | −0.5% | +0.6% | 84% | 19 | No better than chance | 2 Jan 2025 |
| 50% rise in 30 days | 21 | 43% | −1.1% | +0.6% | 79% | 16 | No better than chance | 3 Dec 2024 |
| 15% drop in 3 days | 27 | 56% | +1.1% | +0.6% | 95% | 15 | No better than chance | 3 Jun 2026 |
| 30% drop in 7 days | 7 | 57% | +11.8% | +0.6% | 0.7% | Too few cases | 10 Dec 2024 | |
| 50% drop in 30 days | 4 | 75% | +11.0% | +0.6% | 4.3% | Too few cases | 12 May 2022 | |
| 50% rise in 7 days | 6 | 17% | −18.0% | +0.6% | under 0.1% | Too few cases | 3 Dec 2024 | |
| 100% rise in 30 days | 7 | 57% | +7.9% | +0.6% | 4.6% | Too few cases | 3 Dec 2024 |
When Bitcoin moves
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin drops 5% in a day | 62 | 47% | −0.7% | +0.6% | 70% | 49 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Bitcoin jumps 5% in a day | 77 | 56% | +2.0% | +0.6% | 63% | 49 | Weak evidence | 18 Sep 2026 |
| Bitcoin drops 10% in a day | 11 | 45% | −1.9% | +0.6% | 75% | 13 | No better than chance | 5 Feb 2026 |
| Bitcoin jumps 10% in a day | 13 | 46% | 0.0% | +0.6% | 96% | 9 | No better than chance | 6 Feb 2026 |
Returns are measured 7 days after the daily close that confirmed the signal. “Ordinary” is the median 7-day move from any day. How the proof score works.
Seen in the last 30 days
| Date | Signal | Close | +7d |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2026 | Breakout to a 90-day high | $0.1451 | open |
| 5 Nov 2026 | Volatility squeeze | $0.1403 | +4.7% |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Extreme buy pressure | $0.1425 | +1.1% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Volatility squeeze | $0.1417 | −1.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | Volatility squeeze | $0.1392 | +1.8% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Extreme sell pressure | $0.1316 | +5.7% |
Signals from the most recent daily close are sealed for a day and shown to members first.