JUST · JST/USDT · daily
What happens to JUST after a 15% drop in 7 days?
Since 2020, JUST has shown a 15% drop in 7 days 42 times. In the 40 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 63% of the time, with a median move of +4.1%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for JST is +0.6%.
Some evidence · leans up56
Even after allowing for every study on this site, a gap that size is luck about 25% of the time and it pointed the same way in the earlier and the later part of the history. The lean is upward.
By holding period
| After | Cases | Higher | Median move | Middle half | Ordinary median | Gap | By luck | Proof score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 40 | 53% | +0.7% | −2.6% to +4.1% | +0.2% | +0.5% | 55% | 24 |
| 3 days | 40 | 63% | +2.6% | −2.7% to +5.8% | +0.4% | +2.2% | 16% | 73 |
| 7 days | 40 | 63% | +4.1% | −2.3% to +10.3% | +0.6% | +3.5% | 25% | 56 |
| 14 days | 40 | 60% | +5.4% | −5.9% to +14.2% | +0.8% | +4.6% | 32% | 54 |
| 30 days | 40 | 55% | +3.1% | −12.8% to +18.4% | +0.7% | +2.4% | 92% | 23 |
“Ordinary median” is the median move of JST over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 1.5%).
Holding it for 7 days
Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.
Did it hold up over time?
Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 24 the gap over 7 days was +7.4%, and in the later 16 it was +2.1%. Same direction both times.
Every occurrence
One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.
| Date | Close | +1d | +7d | +30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | $0.07387 | +4.4% | +7.5% | +22.6% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | $0.03249 | −0.3% | +5.2% | +4.4% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | $0.03759 | +1.7% | −0.4% | −8.3% |
| 19 Dec 2024 | $0.03776 | +1.1% | +1.6% | +3.7% |
| 10 Dec 2024 | $0.04270 | +4.8% | −0.5% | −4.2% |
| 5 Aug 2024 | $0.02493 | +2.2% | +7.5% | +15.6% |
| 17 Apr 2024 | $0.03176 | +2.4% | +4.8% | +2.5% |
| 18 Mar 2024 | $0.03645 | −9.1% | +6.3% | −12.9% |
| 8 Nov 2023 | $0.03273 | −0.6% | +5.1% | +2.3% |
| 6 Oct 2023 | $0.02360 | −0.8% | −6.3% | +37.7% |
| 10 Jun 2023 | $0.01975 | +4.0% | +2.0% | +12.2% |
| 8 Mar 2023 | $0.02524 | −8.4% | +3.4% | +9.7% |
The 12 most recent. All 42 are in the open data file.
The rule
Close at least 15% below the close 7 days earlier.
Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.
The same signal on other coins
| Coin | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Gap | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 XRP | 58 | 66% | +3.2% | +3.9% | Strong evidence · leans up |
 Prom | 35 | 66% | +4.0% | +4.2% | Some evidence · leans up |
 Bitcoin | 36 | 61% | +3.4% | +2.9% | Weak evidence |
 Stellar | 59 | 63% | +2.0% | +3.2% | Weak evidence |
 DeXe | 54 | 57% | +3.1% | +3.4% | Weak evidence |
 Litecoin | 67 | 58% | +2.6% | +2.8% | Weak evidence |
 Aave | 63 | 62% | +3.7% | +3.8% | Weak evidence |
 Sei | 44 | 55% | +1.5% | +3.8% | Weak evidence |
15% drop in 7 days across all 94 coins
Other JUST signals
New signals are sealed in the public ledger at the daily close. Members see them immediately; everyone else sees them a day later.
See today's signals