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JUST · JST/USDT · daily

What happens to JUST after a 7% rise in a day?

Since 2020, JUST has shown a 7% rise in a day 64 times. In the 62 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 39% of the time, with a median move of −5.2%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for JST is +0.6%.

Strong evidence · leans down100

Even after allowing for every study on this site, a gap that size is luck about 1.9% of the time and it pointed the same way in the earlier and the later part of the history. The lean is downward.

Cases since 202064last on 25 Sep 2026
Higher after 7 days39%ordinary: 53%
Median 7-day move−5.2%ordinary: +0.6%
Could be luck1.9%allowing for 3,572 studies
Worst / best case−38% / +54%over 7 days
Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary JST drift
−20%−10%0%+10%+20%+30% -5dsignal+7d+14d+30d
Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 63 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

AfterCasesHigherMedian moveMiddle halfOrdinary medianGapBy luckProof score
1 day6245%−0.9%−5.2% to +2.9%+0.2%−1.1%6.7%65
3 days6244%−1.1%−9.3% to +4.1%+0.4%−1.5%26%51
7 days6239%−5.2%−11.7% to +8.7%+0.6%−5.8%1.9%100
14 days6250%+0.1%−13.3% to +8.2%+0.8%−0.8%93%22
30 days6247%−2.3%−19.9% to +29.5%+0.7%−3.1%82%24

“Ordinary median” is the median move of JST over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: under 0.1%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−11.5%ordinary JST: −5.1%
1 case in 4 dipped past−19.2%before day 7
Fell 10% or more on the way55%ordinary: 25%
Typical best point+11.1%highest price within 7 days
Median after costs−5.5%ordinary: +0.3%
Ahead after costs39%ordinary: 52%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 37 the gap over 7 days was −5.6%, and in the later 25 it was −6.3%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

DateClose+1d+7d+30d
25 Sep 2026$0.1221+0.6%+8.6%+15.6%
21 Apr 2026$0.08150+1.5%+4.1%+12.0%
12 Apr 2026$0.07906−4.3%−8.1%+14.1%
28 Jan 2026$0.04478−1.5%−8.7%+6.0%
30 Nov 2025$0.04291+1.2%−9.4%−2.9%
26 Aug 2025$0.03728−3.4%−5.7%−16.0%
29 Jul 2025$0.03969−8.4%−18.1%−6.7%
8 May 2025$0.03684+3.1%−0.8%−6.9%
27 Apr 2025$0.03896+2.8%−8.8%−7.9%
6 Jan 2025$0.04530−9.6%−17.0%−27.4%
3 Dec 2024$0.06488−16.4%−34.2%−37.9%
12 Nov 2024$0.03381−7.0%+0.9%+37.9%

The 12 most recent. All 64 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 7% above the close one day earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

CoinCasesHigher after 7dMedianGapVerdict
Radworks6229%−5.6%−4.8%Strong evidence · leans down
Shiba Inu6932%−5.8%−4.3%Strong evidence · leans down
Request4933%−4.3%−3.8%Strong evidence · leans down
Audius10033%−4.5%−3.4%Strong evidence · leans down
Polymesh4353%+2.2%+3.8%Weak evidence
Amp5435%−4.6%−2.3%Weak evidence
Memecoin5551%+0.2%+3.7%Weak evidence
Quant7438%−3.4%−2.1%Weak evidence

7% rise in a day across all 94 coins

Other JUST signals

Full JUST record

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