Dogecoin · DOGE/USDT · daily
What happens to Dogecoin after a 50% drop in 30 days?
Since 2019, Dogecoin has shown a 50% drop in 30 days 0 times, and none of them is old enough to score yet.
Too few cases
With 0 completed cases there is not enough history to judge this one.
By holding period
| After | Cases | Higher | Median move | Middle half | Ordinary median | Gap | By luck | Proof score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 0 | no completed cases | ||||||
| 3 days | 0 | no completed cases | ||||||
| 7 days | 0 | no completed cases | ||||||
| 14 days | 0 | no completed cases | ||||||
| 30 days | 0 | no completed cases | ||||||
“Ordinary median” is the median move of DOGE over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period.
Every occurrence
One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.
The rule
Close at least 50% below the close 30 days earlier.
Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.
The same signal on other coins
| Coin | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Gap | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 THORChain | 21 | 62% | +7.1% | +7.4% | Weak evidence |
 Fetch.ai | 21 | 52% | +1.2% | +2.4% | No better than chance |
 Harmony | 22 | 45% | −0.6% | +0.7% | No better than chance |
50% drop in 30 days across all 94 coins
Other Dogecoin signals
New signals are sealed in the public ledger at the daily close. Members see them immediately; everyone else sees them a day later.
See today's signals