What happens to DeXe after a 30% drop in 7 days?

Since 2021, DeXe has shown a 30% drop in 7 days 10 times. In the 9 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 44% of the time, with a median move of −3.4%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for DEXE is −0.3%.

Too few cases

With 9 completed cases there is not enough history to judge this one.

Cases since 202110last on 28 Jul 2026

Higher after 7 days44%ordinary: 49%

Median 7-day move−3.4%ordinary: −0.3%

Could be luck40%allowing for 3,572 studies

Worst / best case−52% / +23%over 7 days

Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary DEXE drift

Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 10 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

After	Cases	Higher	Median move	Middle half	Ordinary median	Gap	By luck
1 day	9	67%	+2.6%	−7.8% to +5.4%	0.0%	+2.6%	6.5%
3 days	9	33%	−8.0%	−12.8% to +8.8%	+0.1%	−8.1%	0.6%
7 days	9	44%	−3.4%	−9.0% to +14.1%	−0.3%	−3.2%	40%
14 days	9	56%	+4.7%	−10.1% to +20.3%	−1.1%	+5.8%	28%
30 days	9	56%	+6.7%	−28.0% to +23.6%	−3.1%	+9.8%	21%

“Ordinary median” is the median move of DEXE over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 40%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−16.6%ordinary DEXE: −6.9%

1 case in 4 dipped past−21.5%before day 7

Fell 10% or more on the way67%ordinary: 35%

Typical best point+19.3%highest price within 7 days

Median after costs−3.7%ordinary: −0.6%

Ahead after costs44%ordinary: 47%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

Date	Close	+1d	+7d	+30d
28 Jul 2026	$2.99	−7.8%	−24.4%	−36.1%
21 Jul 2026	$6.20	−28.5%	−51.8%	−68.6%
5 Feb 2026	$1.92	+16.2%	+14.1%	+90.2%
10 Oct 2025	$5.48	+2.6%	+21.0%	+18.2%
9 Nov 2022	$1.93	+24.5%	+22.8%	+29.4%
16 Jun 2022	$2.57	+5.4%	+6.6%	+23.6%
9 May 2022	$3.77	+5.0%	−6.6%	−5.3%
21 Jan 2022	$6.72	−9.8%	−3.4%	+6.7%
11 Dec 2021	$13.20	+1.6%	−9.0%	−28.0%
31 Jul 2021	$12.97	open	open	open

The 12 most recent. All 10 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 30% below the close 7 days earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

Coin	Cases	Higher after 7d	Median	Gap	Verdict
Harmony	23	70%	+11.6%	+12.9%	Strong evidence · leans up
Tellor	22	77%	+9.1%	+9.5%	Some evidence · leans up
Fetch.ai	26	65%	+7.6%	+8.8%	Some evidence · leans up
Reserve Rights	21	71%	+5.9%	+7.2%	Weak evidence
Curve DAO	22	68%	+5.3%	+5.9%	Weak evidence

30% drop in 7 days across all 94 coins

Other DeXe signals

20% drop in a weekStrong evidence · 29 cases 50% rise in 30 daysWeak evidence · 37 cases 15% drop in 7 daysWeak evidence · 54 cases 10% drop in a dayWeak evidence · 39 cases Volume spike on a green dayWeak evidence · 56 cases 15% drop in 3 daysWeak evidence · 42 cases

Full DeXe record

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