VeChain signals: which ones have held up
19 common signals tested on every daily VET candle since 25 Jul 2018 (3,035 days). 2 signals show evidence of an effect on the following week. 6 signals did no better than picking days at random.
VET price · last close$0.0046014 Nov 2026 close: $0.00460 (7d −12.7%)
RSI (14)23.6under 30
Volume vs 30-day average1.57×3× or more is a spike
Market buys, share of volume48.5%above 50%: buyers lifting offers
From all-time high−98%below the 200-day average
Trading signals, ranked by evidence
| Signal | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI rises above 70 | 39 | 72% | +11.3% | −0.8% | 1.9% | 100 | Strong evidence · leans up | 19 Sep 2026 |
| Breakout to a 90-day high | 34 | 65% | +7.8% | −0.8% | 4.6% | 97 | Strong evidence · leans up | 19 Sep 2026 |
| Five green days in a row | 33 | 61% | +4.5% | −0.8% | 28% | 52 | Weak evidence | 7 Sep 2026 |
| Volume spike on a green day | 42 | 60% | +2.1% | −0.8% | 58% | 51 | Weak evidence | 8 Sep 2026 |
| Five red days in a row | 38 | 34% | −3.2% | −0.8% | 69% | 49 | Weak evidence | 26 Oct 2026 |
| Extreme buy pressure | 85 | 36% | −2.0% | −0.8% | 78% | 47 | Weak evidence | 1 Nov 2026 |
| Breakdown to a 90-day low | 33 | 58% | +2.0% | −0.8% | 64% | 47 | Weak evidence | 2 Jun 2026 |
| RSI drops below 30 | 29 | 59% | +2.2% | −0.8% | 64% | 46 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 20% drop in a week | 46 | 48% | −0.7% | −0.8% | 98% | 45 | Weak evidence | 6 Jun 2026 |
| Volatility squeeze | 31 | 48% | −0.3% | −0.8% | 96% | 42 | Weak evidence | 11 Aug 2026 |
| Capitulation: heavy drop on heavy volume | 16 | 31% | −3.5% | −0.8% | 79% | 38 | Weak evidence | 10 Oct 2025 |
| Golden cross | 10 | 20% | −12.1% | −0.8% | 21% | 38 | Weak evidence | 21 Sep 2026 |
| 10% drop in a day | 63 | 52% | +1.3% | −0.8% | 61% | 24 | No better than chance | 29 Oct 2026 |
| Extreme sell pressure | 69 | 49% | −0.1% | −0.8% | 88% | 22 | No better than chance | 8 Nov 2026 |
| 10% jump in a day | 85 | 53% | +0.4% | −0.8% | 76% | 22 | No better than chance | 19 Sep 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, sellers in control | 46 | 48% | −0.5% | −0.8% | 96% | 21 | No better than chance | 18 Feb 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, buyers in control | 40 | 48% | −1.0% | −0.8% | 98% | 20 | No better than chance | 19 Feb 2026 |
| Volume spike on a red day | 27 | 44% | −1.2% | −0.8% | 98% | 14 | No better than chance | 22 Aug 2026 |
| Death cross | 9 | 67% | +5.5% | −0.8% | 16% | Too few cases | 12 Mar 2025 |
After drops and rallies
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15% drop in 3 days | 50 | 58% | +1.5% | −0.8% | 63% | 50 | Weak evidence | 6 Jun 2026 |
| 30% drop in 30 days | 68 | 50% | −0.3% | −0.8% | 93% | 46 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 30% drop in 7 days | 11 | 73% | +8.3% | −0.8% | 31% | 45 | Weak evidence | 10 Oct 2025 |
| 50% drop in 30 days | 12 | 58% | +4.1% | −0.8% | 62% | 41 | Weak evidence | 20 May 2022 |
| 20% rise in 3 days | 49 | 53% | +2.7% | −0.8% | 40% | 27 | No better than chance | 19 Sep 2026 |
| 40% drop in 30 days | 28 | 61% | +5.1% | −0.8% | 26% | 26 | No better than chance | 5 Feb 2026 |
| 5% drop in a day | 192 | 44% | −2.2% | −0.8% | 51% | 23 | No better than chance | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 7% drop in a day | 130 | 43% | −2.2% | −0.8% | 61% | 23 | No better than chance | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 10% drop in 3 days | 119 | 46% | −2.0% | −0.8% | 71% | 22 | No better than chance | 29 Oct 2026 |
| 15% drop in 7 days | 84 | 52% | +0.4% | −0.8% | 75% | 22 | No better than chance | 28 Oct 2026 |
| 10% rise in 3 days | 134 | 51% | +0.2% | −0.8% | 74% | 22 | No better than chance | 21 Oct 2026 |
| 50% rise in 30 days | 68 | 53% | +0.4% | −0.8% | 79% | 22 | No better than chance | 21 Sep 2026 |
| 15% rise in a day | 32 | 59% | +1.7% | −0.8% | 69% | 21 | No better than chance | 26 Aug 2026 |
| 20% rise in 7 days | 73 | 49% | −0.1% | −0.8% | 89% | 21 | No better than chance | 21 Sep 2026 |
| 5% rise in a day | 198 | 45% | −1.0% | −0.8% | 97% | 20 | No better than chance | 20 Oct 2026 |
| 7% rise in a day | 136 | 48% | −0.7% | −0.8% | 96% | 20 | No better than chance | 19 Sep 2026 |
| 20% drop in 3 days | 23 | 57% | +3.1% | −0.8% | 58% | 19 | No better than chance | 10 Oct 2025 |
| 30% rise in 7 days | 36 | 47% | −0.7% | −0.8% | 99% | 18 | No better than chance | 22 Sep 2026 |
| 50% rise in 7 days | 10 | 50% | −0.3% | −0.8% | 98% | 16 | No better than chance | 3 Dec 2024 |
| 15% drop in a day | 20 | 50% | −0.5% | −0.8% | 98% | 11 | No better than chance | 10 Oct 2025 |
| 100% rise in 30 days | 20 | 40% | −1.0% | −0.8% | 99% | 10 | No better than chance | 15 Dec 2024 |
When Bitcoin moves
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin jumps 5% in a day | 112 | 52% | +0.7% | −0.8% | 60% | 48 | Weak evidence | 18 Sep 2026 |
| Bitcoin drops 5% in a day | 92 | 46% | −1.7% | −0.8% | 83% | 47 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Bitcoin jumps 10% in a day | 25 | 40% | −1.5% | −0.8% | 95% | 14 | No better than chance | 6 Feb 2026 |
| Bitcoin drops 10% in a day | 17 | 47% | −1.3% | −0.8% | 98% | 9 | No better than chance | 5 Feb 2026 |
Returns are measured 7 days after the daily close that confirmed the signal. “Ordinary” is the median 7-day move from any day. How the proof score works.
Seen in the last 30 days
| Date | Signal | Close | +7d |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Extreme sell pressure | $0.00505 | open |
| 5 Nov 2026 | RSI drops below 30 | $0.00537 | −3.2% |
| 1 Nov 2026 | Extreme buy pressure | $0.00578 | −12.7% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | RSI drops below 30 | $0.00577 | −7.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 10% drop in a day | $0.00577 | −7.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Five red days in a row | $0.00659 | −14.8% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Extreme buy pressure | $0.00678 | −14.7% |
Signals from the most recent daily close are sealed for a day and shown to members first.