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Shiba Inu · SHIB/USDT · daily

What happens to Shiba Inu after five green days in a row?

Since 2021, Shiba Inu has shown five green days in a row 23 times. In the 23 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 43% of the time, with a median move of −2.9%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for SHIB is −1.5%.

Weak evidence40

There is a gap, but once you allow for how many studies were run, a gap this large is luck about 87% of the time, so it should not be relied on.

Cases since 202123last on 15 Jun 2026
Higher after 7 days43%ordinary: 43%
Median 7-day move−2.9%ordinary: −1.5%
Could be luck87%allowing for 3,572 studies
Worst / best case−21% / +240%over 7 days
Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary SHIB drift
−20%−15%−10%−5%0%+5%+10%+15% -5dsignal+7d+14d+30d
Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 23 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

AfterCasesHigherMedian moveMiddle halfOrdinary medianGapBy luckProof score
1 day2335%−1.0%−3.0% to +3.6%−0.2%−0.9%53%42
3 days2348%−1.0%−5.6% to +5.0%−0.8%−0.1%97%12
7 days2343%−2.9%−9.8% to +3.8%−1.5%−1.4%87%40
14 days2339%−4.9%−13.6% to +10.1%−2.3%−2.6%85%16
30 days2335%−5.8%−18.1% to +6.0%−4.4%−1.4%97%13

“Ordinary median” is the median move of SHIB over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 51%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−5.7%ordinary SHIB: −7.2%
1 case in 4 dipped past−13.3%before day 7
Fell 10% or more on the way35%ordinary: 37%
Typical best point+7.8%highest price within 7 days
Median after costs−3.2%ordinary: −1.8%
Ahead after costs43%ordinary: 42%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 13 the gap over 7 days was −1.4%, and in the later 10 it was −0.7%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

DateClose+1d+7d+30d
15 Jun 2026$0.00000506−1.6%−8.1%−16.2%
24 Apr 2026$0.00000620−0.3%+1.1%−10.0%
13 Mar 2026$0.00000594−1.0%+0.3%−2.9%
11 Sep 2025$0.00001325+5.0%+1.1%−24.9%
19 Jul 2025$0.00001490+4.1%−6.2%−14.8%
9 May 2025$0.00001505+13.4%−3.2%−17.0%
22 Apr 2025$0.00001358−0.1%−1.3%+14.4%
26 Mar 2025$0.00001421−1.3%−15.2%−0.4%
21 Sep 2024$0.00001500−3.2%+30.8%+22.4%
16 Jul 2024$0.00001933−3.7%−11.8%−31.4%
22 Apr 2024$0.00002689−0.3%−10.4%−5.8%
28 Feb 2024$0.00001171+7.3%+184.1%+162.9%

The 12 most recent. All 23 are in the open data file.

The rule

Fifth consecutive daily close above the open. Five winning days in a row tempts traders to bet on a pullback, or to chase.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

CoinCasesHigher after 7dMedianGapVerdict
Neo3070%+8.5%+9.1%Strong evidence · leans up
VeChain3361%+4.5%+5.4%Weak evidence
Tellor2631%−7.8%−7.4%Weak evidence
Hedera3053%+2.9%+4.1%Weak evidence
Ethereum4558%+1.6%+1.3%Weak evidence
PancakeSwap2759%+3.3%+4.1%Weak evidence
Dash3938%−2.1%−1.6%Weak evidence
IOTA3853%+1.1%+1.9%Weak evidence

Five green days in a row across all 94 coins

Other Shiba Inu signals

Full Shiba Inu record

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