Five green days in a row: does it work in crypto?
Five winning days in a row tempts traders to bet on a pullback, or to chase. We counted every time it happened on 94 major coins, 2,286 scored cases in all, and measured the following 7 days against each coin's ordinary behaviour.
Coins with evidence2 of 902 lean up · 0 lean down
No better than chance45 of 90coins
Scored cases2,286since 2017
The rule. Fifth consecutive daily close above the open.
Coin by coin
| Coin | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | Gap | By luck | Proof score | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Neo | 30 | 70% | +8.5% | −0.6% | +9.1% | 3.8% | 70 | Strong evidence · leans up |
 Uniswap | 18 | 72% | +8.9% | −0.4% | +9.3% | 18% | 64 | Some evidence · leans up |
 VeChain | 33 | 61% | +4.5% | −0.8% | +5.4% | 28% | 52 | Weak evidence |
 Tellor | 26 | 31% | −7.8% | −0.4% | −7.4% | 29% | 50 | Weak evidence |
 Hedera | 30 | 53% | +2.9% | −1.2% | +4.1% | 43% | 49 | Weak evidence |
 Ethereum | 45 | 58% | +1.6% | +0.3% | +1.3% | 79% | 48 | Weak evidence |
 PancakeSwap | 27 | 59% | +3.3% | −0.8% | +4.1% | 43% | 48 | Weak evidence |
 Dash | 39 | 38% | −2.1% | −0.5% | −1.6% | 79% | 48 | Weak evidence |
 IOTA | 38 | 53% | +1.1% | −0.8% | +1.9% | 76% | 48 | Weak evidence |
 DeXe | 26 | 54% | +3.5% | −0.3% | +3.7% | 49% | 47 | Weak evidence |
 Solana | 33 | 61% | +1.9% | −0.3% | +2.2% | 79% | 46 | Weak evidence |
 Zcash | 35 | 57% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +2.2% | 79% | 46 | Weak evidence |
 Litecoin | 37 | 51% | +0.3% | −0.2% | +0.5% | 95% | 45 | Weak evidence |
 Lisk | 30 | 57% | +1.5% | −0.6% | +2.1% | 75% | 45 | Weak evidence |
 Ethereum Classic | 34 | 41% | −1.7% | −1.0% | −0.7% | 92% | 44 | Weak evidence |
 Aave | 20 | 70% | +4.7% | −0.1% | +4.8% | 60% | 44 | Weak evidence |
 Kava | 35 | 46% | −1.5% | −0.6% | −0.9% | 91% | 44 | Weak evidence |
 Fetch.ai | 27 | 59% | +2.3% | −1.2% | +3.6% | 71% | 44 | Weak evidence |
 dYdX | 19 | 68% | +3.7% | −1.7% | +5.4% | 53% | 44 | Weak evidence |
 Polkadot | 21 | 57% | +2.8% | −1.0% | +3.8% | 63% | 43 | Weak evidence |
 DODO | 25 | 56% | +2.2% | −0.8% | +3.1% | 73% | 43 | Weak evidence |
 JUST | 25 | 64% | +2.6% | +0.6% | +1.9% | 71% | 43 | Weak evidence |
 Dogecoin | 26 | 42% | −2.6% | −1.0% | −1.7% | 79% | 42 | Weak evidence |
 Quant | 18 | 50% | +1.6% | −1.3% | +2.9% | 61% | 42 | Weak evidence |
 1inch | 25 | 36% | −3.4% | −1.3% | −2.1% | 83% | 42 | Weak evidence |
 XRP | 30 | 40% | −1.1% | −0.8% | −0.3% | 97% | 41 | Weak evidence |
 Optimism | 16 | 38% | −6.1% | −1.4% | −4.7% | 64% | 41 | Weak evidence |
 Conflux | 23 | 48% | −3.8% | −1.6% | −2.3% | 84% | 41 | Weak evidence |
 Audius | 28 | 43% | −2.3% | −1.2% | −1.1% | 90% | 41 | Weak evidence |
 Shiba Inu | 23 | 43% | −2.9% | −1.5% | −1.4% | 87% | 40 | Weak evidence |
 Arweave | 21 | 52% | +1.7% | −1.2% | +2.9% | 79% | 40 | Weak evidence |
 Prom | 20 | 70% | +1.7% | −0.2% | +1.9% | 76% | 40 | Weak evidence |
| Convex Finance | 17 | 59% | +1.6% | −1.7% | +3.4% | 74% | 40 | Weak evidence |
 Immutable | 12 | 67% | +3.5% | −1.7% | +5.1% | 68% | 40 | Weak evidence |
| Floki | 17 | 35% | −5.1% | −1.9% | −3.2% | 73% | 39 | Weak evidence |
 AVA (Travala) | 24 | 46% | −1.2% | −0.4% | −0.8% | 94% | 39 | Weak evidence |
 Sui | 12 | 25% | −5.4% | −1.5% | −3.9% | 74% | 38 | Weak evidence |
 Lido DAO | 16 | 56% | +1.7% | −1.2% | +2.8% | 82% | 38 | Weak evidence |
 Phala Network | 16 | 50% | +1.2% | −1.5% | +2.7% | 78% | 38 | Weak evidence |
 Gitcoin | 22 | 41% | −2.4% | −1.2% | −1.3% | 94% | 38 | Weak evidence |
 Request | 18 | 39% | −1.9% | −0.5% | −1.4% | 84% | 38 | Weak evidence |
 Raydium | 18 | 39% | −2.7% | −0.9% | −1.9% | 89% | 37 | Weak evidence |
 Ethereum Name Service | 13 | 62% | +1.8% | −1.1% | +2.9% | 80% | 37 | Weak evidence |
 Livepeer | 21 | 62% | +6.6% | −1.7% | +8.3% | 19% | 37 | Weak evidence |
 Arkham | 15 | 33% | −4.4% | −2.5% | −1.9% | 91% | 36 | Weak evidence |
 Terra Classic | 16 | 38% | −1.3% | −1.6% | +0.3% | 99% | 34 | No better than chance |
 Algorand | 45 | 44% | −4.0% | −1.0% | −3.0% | 59% | 26 | No better than chance |
 ORDI | 10 | 30% | −7.7% | −1.9% | −5.7% | 66% | 25 | No better than chance |
 Harmony | 34 | 47% | −5.0% | −1.3% | −3.7% | 62% | 23 | No better than chance |
 Cardano | 34 | 59% | +1.7% | −0.8% | +2.6% | 64% | 22 | No better than chance |
 Gala | 17 | 59% | +4.3% | −3.0% | +7.3% | 38% | 22 | No better than chance |
 Reserve Rights | 30 | 60% | +3.3% | −1.3% | +4.6% | 59% | 22 | No better than chance |
 THORChain | 35 | 46% | −2.9% | −0.3% | −2.6% | 75% | 22 | No better than chance |
 Ravencoin | 27 | 56% | +2.5% | −1.3% | +3.9% | 48% | 22 | No better than chance |
 Bitcoin | 49 | 53% | +0.2% | +0.5% | −0.3% | 96% | 21 | No better than chance |
 BNB | 48 | 52% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +0.5% | 93% | 21 | No better than chance |
 Chainlink | 44 | 55% | +0.7% | +0.1% | +0.6% | 95% | 21 | No better than chance |
 TRON | 48 | 52% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.2% | 97% | 21 | No better than chance |
 Internet Computer | 15 | 27% | −7.3% | −1.3% | −6.0% | 47% | 20 | No better than chance |
 Stacks | 34 | 44% | −2.1% | −0.6% | −1.5% | 88% | 20 | No better than chance |
 Sun | 30 | 53% | +1.4% | −0.4% | +1.8% | 68% | 20 | No better than chance |
 Bitcoin Cash | 29 | 55% | +1.6% | −0.2% | +1.8% | 78% | 19 | No better than chance |
 COTI | 33 | 52% | +0.2% | −1.3% | +1.4% | 89% | 19 | No better than chance |
 Stellar | 35 | 49% | −1.0% | −1.1% | +0.1% | 99% | 18 | No better than chance |
 The Sandbox | 24 | 54% | +1.4% | −1.3% | +2.8% | 74% | 17 | No better than chance |
 Basic Attention Token | 30 | 57% | +0.7% | −0.1% | +0.8% | 93% | 17 | No better than chance |
 Oasis | 20 | 60% | +3.0% | −1.4% | +4.4% | 65% | 17 | No better than chance |
 Avalanche | 28 | 46% | −1.7% | −0.7% | −1.0% | 93% | 16 | No better than chance |
 NEAR Protocol | 23 | 43% | −3.5% | −0.6% | −2.9% | 79% | 16 | No better than chance |
 The Graph | 26 | 50% | −0.1% | −1.8% | +1.6% | 89% | 16 | No better than chance |
 Theta Network | 32 | 47% | −0.4% | −0.6% | +0.2% | 99% | 16 | No better than chance |
 Injective | 29 | 45% | −0.1% | −0.1% | −0.1% | 100% | 15 | No better than chance |
 Cosmos | 23 | 35% | −2.1% | −0.9% | −1.3% | 91% | 14 | No better than chance |
 Arbitrum | 17 | 53% | +1.1% | −1.7% | +2.8% | 79% | 14 | No better than chance |
| Worldcoin | 13 | 38% | −7.4% | −2.7% | −4.7% | 74% | 14 | No better than chance |
 Horizen | 23 | 52% | +0.5% | −0.7% | +1.2% | 93% | 14 | No better than chance |
 Chiliz | 24 | 54% | +0.4% | −0.7% | +1.0% | 93% | 14 | No better than chance |
 Axie Infinity | 27 | 48% | −1.0% | −1.2% | +0.2% | 99% | 14 | No better than chance |
 Nexo | 14 | 64% | +1.5% | −0.3% | +1.8% | 71% | 14 | No better than chance |
 Polymesh | 21 | 48% | 0.0% | −1.6% | +1.6% | 88% | 14 | No better than chance |
 ConstitutionDAO | 22 | 50% | −0.2% | −1.3% | +1.1% | 94% | 13 | No better than chance |
 Radworks | 17 | 41% | −2.3% | −0.9% | −1.5% | 87% | 12 | No better than chance |
 Filecoin | 19 | 42% | −0.3% | −1.1% | +0.7% | 96% | 11 | No better than chance |
 Aptos | 15 | 53% | +0.3% | −1.5% | +1.8% | 91% | 11 | No better than chance |
 Pepe | 15 | 53% | +0.9% | −1.4% | +2.3% | 89% | 11 | No better than chance |
 Curve DAO | 20 | 50% | −0.1% | −0.5% | +0.4% | 98% | 11 | No better than chance |
 ApeCoin | 18 | 39% | −1.7% | −1.7% | 0.0% | 100% | 9 | No better than chance |
 Sei | 12 | 50% | −1.0% | −2.2% | +1.3% | 94% | 8 | No better than chance |
 Pendle | 12 | 50% | +0.3% | −0.3% | +0.5% | 99% | 7 | No better than chance |
 Cyber | 11 | 36% | −1.5% | −2.0% | +0.4% | 99% | 6 | No better than chance |
 Celestia | 9 | 33% | −0.4% | −2.7% | +2.2% | 68% | Too few cases | |
 Beam | 8 | 63% | +3.5% | −0.5% | +4.0% | 44% | Too few cases | |
 Amp | 9 | 22% | −2.4% | −2.2% | −0.2% | 95% | Too few cases | |
 Memecoin | 8 | 38% | −7.7% | −3.4% | −4.3% | 36% | Too few cases |
With 94 coins tested, one or two would look convincing by luck alone. A signal that only “works” on a single coin deserves less trust than one that leans the same way on many. Method.