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Request · REQ/USDT · daily

What happens to Request after a 7% drop in a day?

Since 2021, Request has shown a 7% drop in a day 60 times. In the 58 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 45% of the time, with a median move of −3.4%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for REQ is −0.5%.

Some evidence · leans down59

Even after allowing for every study on this site, a gap that size is luck about 22% of the time and it pointed the same way in the earlier and the later part of the history. The lean is downward.

Cases since 202160last on 26 Jul 2026
Higher after 7 days45%ordinary: 47%
Median 7-day move−3.4%ordinary: −0.5%
Could be luck22%allowing for 3,572 studies
Worst / best case−28% / +48%over 7 days
Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary REQ drift
−20%−10%0%+10% -5dsignal+7d+14d+30d
Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 60 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

AfterCasesHigherMedian moveMiddle halfOrdinary medianGapBy luckProof score
1 day5834%−1.8%−4.6% to +1.5%−0.1%−1.7%0.5%98
3 days5833%−2.9%−7.0% to +3.0%−0.2%−2.6%3.3%97
7 days5845%−3.4%−10.1% to +2.9%−0.5%−2.9%22%59
14 days5838%−3.0%−11.5% to +7.5%−1.1%−1.8%77%49
30 days5845%−3.5%−20.2% to +14.3%−3.0%−0.5%97%21

“Ordinary median” is the median move of REQ over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 1.2%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−11.4%ordinary REQ: −5.9%
1 case in 4 dipped past−16.3%before day 7
Fell 10% or more on the way55%ordinary: 27%
Typical best point+10.8%highest price within 7 days
Median after costs−3.7%ordinary: −0.8%
Ahead after costs43%ordinary: 45%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 34 the gap over 7 days was −3.5%, and in the later 24 it was −0.4%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

DateClose+1d+7d+30d
26 Jul 2026$0.05440−9.0%−6.8%+1.7%
5 Jun 2026$0.05380+0.4%+5.0%+1.7%
27 May 2026$0.07120−6.2%−15.4%−23.7%
19 Apr 2026$0.08580−0.8%−9.8%−23.3%
5 Feb 2026$0.08040+5.2%−7.6%−23.6%
8 Apr 2025$0.08710+10.6%+12.3%+65.1%
29 Mar 2025$0.1150+10.1%−6.9%+6.0%
2 Feb 2025$0.1002−6.4%−6.4%+17.3%
18 Dec 2024$0.1149−4.8%+7.0%+9.7%
9 Dec 2024$0.1174+1.6%+14.5%+1.7%
1 Oct 2024$0.09510−1.8%+1.9%−4.5%
2 Aug 2024$0.09220−2.6%+1.5%+5.0%

The 12 most recent. All 60 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 7% below the close one day earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

CoinCasesHigher after 7dMedianGapVerdict
Prom5262%+3.5%+3.7%Strong evidence · leans up
Beam5334%−7.2%−6.7%Some evidence · leans down
Cyber5740%−6.0%−4.0%Weak evidence
Stellar9754%+1.5%+2.6%Weak evidence
Pepe6629%−5.6%−4.2%Weak evidence
Quant5553%+1.1%+2.4%Weak evidence
Arkham6434%−6.1%−3.5%Weak evidence
Floki6229%−5.1%−3.2%Weak evidence

7% drop in a day across all 94 coins

Other Request signals

Full Request record

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