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DODO · DODO/USDT · daily

What happens to DODO after a 100% rise in 30 days?

Since 2021, DODO has shown a 100% rise in 30 days 4 times. In the 4 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 25% of the time, with a median move of −17.9%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for DODO is −0.8%.

Too few cases

With 4 completed cases there is not enough history to judge this one.

Cases since 20214last on 4 Dec 2024
Higher after 7 days25%ordinary: 47%
Median 7-day move−17.9%ordinary: −0.8%
Could be luck2.7%allowing for 3,572 studies
Worst / best case−24% / +11%over 7 days

By holding period

AfterCasesHigherMedian moveMiddle halfOrdinary medianGapBy luckProof score
1 day40%−7.1%−9.0% to −5.9%−0.1%−7.0%1.8%
3 days425%−5.9%−11.4% to −0.9%−0.5%−5.4%24%
7 days425%−17.9%−21.5% to −8.5%−0.8%−17.1%2.7%
14 days40%−19.5%−30.7% to −10.5%−2.6%−16.9%9.2%
30 days40%−30.4%−38.8% to −23.3%−6.4%−24.0%8.2%

“Ordinary median” is the median move of DODO over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 2.7%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−25.6%ordinary DODO: −9.2%
1 case in 4 dipped past−28.4%before day 7
Fell 10% or more on the way100%ordinary: 47%
Typical best point+11.8%highest price within 7 days
Median after costs−18.2%ordinary: −1.1%
Ahead after costs25%ordinary: 46%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

DateClose+1d+7d+30d
4 Dec 2024$0.2145−6.0%−15.1%−22.2%
26 Feb 2023$0.2673−5.6%−23.8%−37.1%
23 Aug 2021$2.24−11.7%−20.8%−43.8%
16 Aug 2021$2.01−8.2%+11.3%−23.7%

The 12 most recent. All 4 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 100% above the close 30 days earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

CoinCasesHigher after 7dMedianGapVerdict
Fetch.ai3370%+10.3%+11.5%Strong evidence · leans up
Axie Infinity2665%+8.9%+10.2%Strong evidence · leans up
Solana2374%+14.2%+14.5%Some evidence · leans up
THORChain2268%+8.7%+9.1%Some evidence · leans up
Injective2857%+6.8%+6.9%Weak evidence
Horizen2348%−3.3%−2.6%Weak evidence
Avalanche2148%−2.5%−1.8%Weak evidence
Stacks2236%−2.3%−1.6%Weak evidence

100% rise in 30 days across all 94 coins

Other DODO signals

Full DODO record

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