DODO signals: which ones have held up
19 common signals tested on every daily DODO candle since 19 Feb 2021 (2,095 days). 1 signal show evidence of an effect on the following week. 8 signals did no better than picking days at random.
DODO price · last close$0.0322014 Nov 2026 close: $0.03220 (7d +46.6%)
RSI (14)80.2over 70
Volume vs 30-day average5.34×3× or more is a spike
Market buys, share of volume52.8%above 50%: buyers lifting offers
From all-time high−100%above the 200-day average
Trading signals, ranked by evidence
| Signal | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% jump in a day | 72 | 35% | −5.9% | −0.8% | 11% | 83 | Strong evidence · leans down | 12 Nov 2026 |
| Volume spike on a green day | 51 | 41% | −2.2% | −0.8% | 87% | 47 | Weak evidence | 12 Nov 2026 |
| RSI rises above 70 | 22 | 64% | +5.0% | −0.8% | 41% | 47 | Weak evidence | 12 Nov 2026 |
| Breakdown to a 90-day low | 21 | 67% | +5.3% | −0.8% | 41% | 47 | Weak evidence | 5 Feb 2026 |
| RSI drops below 30 | 26 | 54% | +3.6% | −0.8% | 55% | 46 | Weak evidence | 5 Feb 2026 |
| Five green days in a row | 25 | 56% | +2.2% | −0.8% | 73% | 43 | Weak evidence | 17 Apr 2026 |
| Capitulation: heavy drop on heavy volume | 16 | 38% | −4.4% | −0.8% | 74% | 40 | Weak evidence | 26 Oct 2026 |
| Volatility squeeze | 20 | 40% | −2.9% | −0.8% | 87% | 39 | Weak evidence | 30 Sep 2026 |
| 10% drop in a day | 60 | 40% | −1.8% | −0.8% | 91% | 22 | No better than chance | 30 Oct 2026 |
| Extreme buy pressure | 59 | 44% | −1.1% | −0.8% | 98% | 21 | No better than chance | 8 Nov 2026 |
| Extreme sell pressure | 63 | 44% | −0.4% | −0.8% | 97% | 21 | No better than chance | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 20% drop in a week | 51 | 47% | −1.2% | −0.8% | 97% | 21 | No better than chance | 21 Jul 2026 |
| Volume spike on a red day | 24 | 42% | −4.2% | −0.8% | 71% | 18 | No better than chance | 6 Aug 2026 |
| Five red days in a row | 31 | 48% | 0.0% | −0.8% | 95% | 17 | No better than chance | 6 Jul 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, buyers in control | 25 | 52% | +0.2% | −0.8% | 94% | 14 | No better than chance | 3 Nov 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, sellers in control | 28 | 46% | −0.8% | −0.8% | 100% | 14 | No better than chance | 11 Oct 2026 |
| Golden cross | 6 | 17% | −4.5% | −0.8% | 51% | Too few cases | 13 Jul 2026 | |
| Death cross | 5 | 60% | +6.1% | −0.8% | 28% | Too few cases | 10 Jul 2026 | |
| Breakout to a 90-day high | 5 | 80% | +13.4% | −0.8% | 4.4% | Too few cases | 30 Nov 2024 |
After drops and rallies
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% rise in 7 days | 46 | 35% | −7.9% | −0.8% | 5.1% | 98 | Strong evidence · leans down | 12 Nov 2026 |
| 30% rise in 7 days | 24 | 29% | −12.9% | −0.8% | 3.1% | 92 | Strong evidence · leans down | 5 Aug 2026 |
| 10% rise in 3 days | 104 | 39% | −4.4% | −0.8% | 22% | 57 | Some evidence · leans down | 12 Nov 2026 |
| 15% rise in a day | 29 | 28% | −7.4% | −0.8% | 25% | 52 | Weak evidence | 12 Nov 2026 |
| 7% rise in a day | 107 | 37% | −3.8% | −0.8% | 35% | 50 | Weak evidence | 12 Nov 2026 |
| 20% rise in 3 days | 33 | 33% | −5.7% | −0.8% | 42% | 50 | Weak evidence | 12 Nov 2026 |
| 7% drop in a day | 109 | 40% | −2.7% | −0.8% | 61% | 48 | Weak evidence | 26 Oct 2026 |
| 5% rise in a day | 156 | 42% | −2.3% | −0.8% | 69% | 48 | Weak evidence | 12 Nov 2026 |
| 15% drop in 7 days | 80 | 50% | +0.3% | −0.8% | 87% | 47 | Weak evidence | 1 Nov 2026 |
| 5% drop in a day | 148 | 47% | −0.3% | −0.8% | 93% | 21 | No better than chance | 26 Oct 2026 |
| 10% drop in 3 days | 104 | 46% | −1.5% | −0.8% | 92% | 21 | No better than chance | 8 Aug 2026 |
| 15% drop in 3 days | 62 | 48% | −0.3% | −0.8% | 96% | 21 | No better than chance | 8 Aug 2026 |
| 30% drop in 30 days | 67 | 46% | −0.9% | −0.8% | 99% | 20 | No better than chance | 4 Sep 2026 |
| 15% drop in a day | 25 | 36% | −4.4% | −0.8% | 66% | 19 | No better than chance | 6 Aug 2026 |
| 30% drop in 7 days | 19 | 63% | +3.2% | −0.8% | 68% | 17 | No better than chance | 21 Jul 2026 |
| 40% drop in 30 days | 29 | 52% | +0.7% | −0.8% | 90% | 17 | No better than chance | 3 Nov 2025 |
| 20% drop in 3 days | 30 | 47% | −1.3% | −0.8% | 98% | 16 | No better than chance | 20 Jul 2026 |
| 50% rise in 30 days | 16 | 44% | −5.1% | −0.8% | 68% | 16 | No better than chance | 5 Aug 2026 |
| 50% drop in 30 days | 14 | 57% | +1.8% | −0.8% | 86% | 12 | No better than chance | 5 Feb 2025 |
| 50% rise in 7 days | 5 | 0% | −14.7% | −0.8% | 5.2% | Too few cases | 15 Jul 2026 | |
| 100% rise in 30 days | 4 | 25% | −17.9% | −0.8% | 2.7% | Too few cases | 4 Dec 2024 |
When Bitcoin moves
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin drops 5% in a day | 57 | 39% | −3.2% | −0.8% | 68% | 49 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Bitcoin jumps 5% in a day | 63 | 52% | +0.9% | −0.8% | 77% | 48 | Weak evidence | 18 Sep 2026 |
| Bitcoin drops 10% in a day | 10 | 30% | −3.3% | −0.8% | 89% | 20 | No better than chance | 5 Feb 2026 |
| Bitcoin jumps 10% in a day | 11 | 27% | −4.2% | −0.8% | 82% | 12 | No better than chance | 6 Feb 2026 |
Returns are measured 7 days after the daily close that confirmed the signal. “Ordinary” is the median 7-day move from any day. How the proof score works.
Seen in the last 30 days
| Date | Signal | Close | +7d |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | RSI rises above 70 | $0.02824 | open |
| 12 Nov 2026 | 10% jump in a day | $0.02824 | open |
| 12 Nov 2026 | Volume spike on a green day | $0.02824 | open |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Extreme buy pressure | $0.02221 | open |
| 5 Nov 2026 | Extreme sell pressure | $0.02189 | +29.0% |
| 3 Nov 2026 | Whale footprint: large trades, buyers in control | $0.02219 | +3.5% |
| 1 Nov 2026 | Extreme buy pressure | $0.02246 | −1.1% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10% drop in a day | $0.02193 | +0.6% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | Capitulation: heavy drop on heavy volume | $0.02463 | −10.4% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 10% jump in a day | $0.02663 | −15.7% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | Volume spike on a green day | $0.02663 | −15.7% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | RSI rises above 70 | $0.02237 | +10.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Whale footprint: large trades, buyers in control | $0.02132 | +14.4% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | RSI rises above 70 | $0.02129 | +5.1% |
Signals from the most recent daily close are sealed for a day and shown to members first.