What happens to Zcash after a 50% rise in 7 days?

Since 2019, Zcash has shown a 50% rise in 7 days 13 times. In the 13 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 54% of the time, with a median move of +4.9%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for ZEC is +0.1%.

Weak evidence40

There is a gap, but once you allow for how many studies were run, a gap this large is luck about 68% of the time, so it should not be relied on.

Cases since 201913last on 9 Sep 2026

Higher after 7 days54%ordinary: 50%

Median 7-day move+4.9%ordinary: +0.1%

Could be luck68%allowing for 3,572 studies

Worst / best case−22% / +47%over 7 days

Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary ZEC drift

Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 13 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

After	Cases	Higher	Median move	Middle half	Ordinary median	Gap	By luck	Proof score
1 day	13	62%	+2.4%	−3.9% to +7.2%	0.0%	+2.4%	26%	19
3 days	13	54%	+5.8%	−5.3% to +18.6%	0.0%	+5.8%	22%	53
7 days	13	54%	+4.9%	−5.0% to +9.2%	+0.1%	+4.8%	68%	40
14 days	13	62%	+11.0%	−6.6% to +20.4%	0.0%	+11.1%	52%	19
30 days	13	62%	+12.9%	−11.1% to +62.2%	+0.1%	+12.7%	76%	41

“Ordinary median” is the median move of ZEC over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 23%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−13.4%ordinary ZEC: −8.3%

1 case in 4 dipped past−19.5%before day 7

Fell 10% or more on the way62%ordinary: 42%

Typical best point+20.0%highest price within 7 days

Median after costs+4.6%ordinary: −0.2%

Ahead after costs54%ordinary: 49%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 7 the gap over 7 days was +6.0%, and in the later 6 it was +0.8%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

Date	Close	+1d	+7d	+30d
9 Sep 2026	$1,244	−13.2%	+7.5%	−3.1%
22 Aug 2026	$802.1	+6.5%	+4.9%	+83.4%
5 May 2026	$517.0	+7.2%	+10.5%	−11.1%
9 Apr 2026	$366.7	+2.4%	−7.2%	+62.2%
6 Nov 2025	$535.8	+20.5%	−3.0%	−36.3%
9 Oct 2025	$212.6	+6.0%	−3.5%	+182.6%
1 Oct 2025	$120.8	+8.8%	+47.0%	+235.0%
2 Dec 2024	$74.59	−1.9%	−21.5%	−21.9%
14 Jul 2024	$29.36	−3.9%	+9.2%	+46.5%
24 Nov 2021	$260.8	+12.9%	−11.9%	−36.7%
11 Feb 2021	$142.3	+0.3%	+18.9%	+9.7%
10 Jan 2021	$96.37	−8.4%	+6.1%	+12.9%

The 12 most recent. All 13 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 50% above the close 7 days earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

Coin	Cases	Higher after 7d	Median	Gap	Verdict
Tellor	21	38%	−12.1%	−11.7%	Strong evidence · leans down
Fetch.ai	22	45%	−1.9%	−0.6%	Weak evidence

50% rise in 7 days across all 94 coins

Other Zcash signals

20% drop in a weekWeak evidence · 47 cases RSI rises above 70Weak evidence · 45 cases 15% rise in a dayWeak evidence · 35 cases 10% jump in a dayWeak evidence · 83 cases Five red days in a rowWeak evidence · 36 cases 10% rise in 3 daysWeak evidence · 146 cases

Full Zcash record

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