THORChain seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, THORChain's best month has been March (+27.6%, higher in 4 of 6 years) and its worst June (−25.5%, higher in 0 of 6). Across all 73 full months, it finished higher 41% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −12.3% | +21.8% | +209% (2021) | −53% (2025) | 100% |
| February | 6 | 2 of 6 | −7.2% | −4.2% | +24% (2024) | −39% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 6 | 4 of 6 | +27.6% | +50.6% | +187% (2022) | −12% (2025) | 24% |
| April | 6 | 3 of 6 | +5.5% | +5.6% | +94% (2021) | −47% (2022) | 70% |
| May | 6 | 2 of 6 | −16.1% | −8.0% | +26% (2024) | −48% (2022) | 100% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −25.5% | −26.0% | −8% (2023) | −46% (2021) | 8.8% |
| July | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.3% | +6.6% | +39% (2022) | −9% (2023) | 70% |
| August | 6 | 3 of 6 | +1.9% | +13.4% | +60% (2023) | −26% (2022) | 70% |
| September | 6 | 3 of 6 | +12.1% | +12.1% | +67% (2026) | −29% (2021) | 70% |
| October | 7 | 4 of 7 | +0.4% | +16.1% | +113% (2021) | −26% (2025) | 46% |
| November | 6 | 3 of 6 | −4.0% | +29.2% | +120% (2023) | −25% (2025) | 70% |
| December | 6 | 1 of 6 | −15.9% | −10.7% | +36% (2020) | −40% (2021) | 41% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 323 | 49% | 0.00% | +0.33% |
| Tuesday | 323 | 47% | −0.30% | +0.15% |
| Wednesday | 323 | 52% | +0.45% | +0.54% |
| Thursday | 323 | 46% | −0.62% | −0.16% |
| Friday | 323 | 50% | +0.03% | +0.13% |
| Saturday | 324 | 48% | 0.00% | +0.22% |
| Sunday | 323 | 46% | −0.49% | +0.23% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.