THORChain in January: how it has done every year
THORChain has finished January higher in 2 of 6 years since 2021, with a median return of −12.3%. Across all months it finishes higher 41% of the time, with a median of −7.5%.
If January were no different from any other month, a record at least this lopsided would turn up about 100% of the time. There is no real sign that January is special for RUNE.
Higher in2 of 6years · all months: 41%
Median January−12.3%average +21.8%
Best+209%2021
Worst−53%2025
Year by year
| Year | Open | Close | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | $0.5580 | $0.4760 | −14.7% |
| January 2025 | $4.48 | $2.13 | −52.6% |
| January 2024 | $5.16 | $4.65 | −10.0% |
| January 2023 | $1.27 | $1.77 | +38.8% |
| January 2022 | $6.80 | $4.12 | −39.3% |
| January 2021 | $1.17 | $3.61 | +208.9% |
Open of the first daily candle of the month to the close of the last, UTC, Binance spot. Only full months are counted. Past months do not predict the next one.
Other months
Decemberhigher in 1 of 6 · median −15.9%Februaryhigher in 2 of 6 · median −7.2%All 12 monthsTHORChain seasonality table