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Prom · PROM/USDT · daily

What happens to Prom after five green days in a row?

Since 2023, Prom has shown five green days in a row 20 times. In the 20 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 70% of the time, with a median move of +1.7%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for PROM is −0.2%.

Weak evidence40

There is a gap, but once you allow for how many studies were run, a gap this large is luck about 76% of the time, so it should not be relied on.

Cases since 202320last on 27 Sep 2026
Higher after 7 days70%ordinary: 49%
Median 7-day move+1.7%ordinary: −0.2%
Could be luck76%allowing for 3,572 studies
Worst / best case−15% / +42%over 7 days
Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary PROM drift
−20%−10%0%+10%+20% -5dsignal+7d+14d+30d
Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 20 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

AfterCasesHigherMedian moveMiddle halfOrdinary medianGapBy luckProof score
1 day2055%+0.3%−1.2% to +2.3%0.0%+0.3%83%12
3 days2060%+1.4%−2.0% to +3.8%0.0%+1.4%66%15
7 days2070%+1.7%−1.5% to +6.6%−0.2%+1.9%76%40
14 days2055%+2.7%−5.4% to +10.2%+0.3%+2.3%84%39
30 days2055%+1.5%−3.2% to +18.6%−0.1%+1.6%96%37

“Ordinary median” is the median move of PROM over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 33%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−7.3%ordinary PROM: −7.1%
1 case in 4 dipped past−9.0%before day 7
Fell 10% or more on the way20%ordinary: 36%
Typical best point+7.3%highest price within 7 days
Median after costs+1.4%ordinary: −0.5%
Ahead after costs65%ordinary: 47%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 12 the gap over 7 days was +1.3%, and in the later 8 it was +5.0%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

DateClose+1d+7d+30d
27 Sep 2026$6.35−0.3%−3.1%−11.6%
27 Aug 2026$4.83+5.2%+3.9%+29.9%
20 Jul 2026$1.94−21.8%+5.8%+2.6%
30 Oct 2025$10.39+3.1%0.0%−12.9%
16 Jul 2025$8.83+9.6%+6.7%+1.4%
28 Jun 2025$5.24+7.2%+42.0%+71.3%
23 Apr 2025$5.87+0.8%−5.9%−7.9%
18 Feb 2025$5.91+1.9%+12.3%+5.4%
7 Feb 2025$4.94+7.8%+13.9%+19.8%
25 Nov 2024$6.27−6.7%+6.5%−1.1%
7 Oct 2024$5.39+0.4%+4.8%−0.5%
21 Sep 2024$5.64−1.4%+1.2%−1.6%

The 12 most recent. All 20 are in the open data file.

The rule

Fifth consecutive daily close above the open. Five winning days in a row tempts traders to bet on a pullback, or to chase.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

CoinCasesHigher after 7dMedianGapVerdict
Neo3070%+8.5%+9.1%Strong evidence · leans up
VeChain3361%+4.5%+5.4%Weak evidence
Tellor2631%−7.8%−7.4%Weak evidence
Hedera3053%+2.9%+4.1%Weak evidence
Ethereum4558%+1.6%+1.3%Weak evidence
PancakeSwap2759%+3.3%+4.1%Weak evidence
Dash3938%−2.1%−1.6%Weak evidence
IOTA3853%+1.1%+1.9%Weak evidence

Five green days in a row across all 94 coins

Other Prom signals

Full Prom record

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