What happens to Request after a 5% rise in a day?

Since 2021, Request has shown a 5% rise in a day 92 times. In the 90 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 40% of the time, with a median move of −2.3%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for REQ is −0.5%.

Weak evidence50

There is a gap, but once you allow for how many studies were run, a gap this large is luck about 38% of the time, so it should not be relied on.

Cases since 202192last on 17 Oct 2026

Higher after 7 days40%ordinary: 47%

Median 7-day move−2.3%ordinary: −0.5%

Could be luck38%allowing for 3,572 studies

Worst / best case−30% / +35%over 7 days

Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary REQ drift

Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 91 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

After	Cases	Higher	Median move	Middle half	Ordinary median	Gap	By luck	Proof score
1 day	90	38%	−0.8%	−4.3% to +2.0%	−0.1%	−0.7%	19%	62
3 days	90	33%	−2.2%	−7.4% to +2.0%	−0.2%	−2.0%	4.8%	94
7 days	90	40%	−2.3%	−8.6% to +4.0%	−0.5%	−1.8%	38%	50
14 days	90	48%	−1.5%	−15.0% to +4.7%	−1.1%	−0.4%	96%	21
30 days	89	38%	−4.9%	−18.3% to +7.3%	−3.0%	−1.8%	84%	48

“Ordinary median” is the median move of REQ over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 5.0%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−8.9%ordinary REQ: −5.9%

1 case in 4 dipped past−13.5%before day 7

Fell 10% or more on the way43%ordinary: 27%

Typical best point+10.2%highest price within 7 days

Median after costs−2.6%ordinary: −0.8%

Ahead after costs40%ordinary: 45%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 54 the gap over 7 days was −2.1%, and in the later 36 it was −1.2%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

Date	Close	+1d	+7d	+30d
17 Oct 2026	$0.05440	−2.8%	−4.2%	open
21 Aug 2026	$0.05690	−4.0%	−0.2%	−3.5%
25 Jul 2026	$0.06200	−12.3%	−18.4%	−11.1%
11 Jun 2026	$0.05640	+0.2%	−2.1%	−3.9%
26 May 2026	$0.08440	−15.6%	−27.6%	−37.1%
8 May 2026	$0.07300	−0.1%	−6.3%	−24.0%
18 Apr 2026	$0.09970	−13.9%	−25.0%	−32.8%
11 Mar 2026	$0.06700	+5.8%	+1.9%	+0.3%
6 Feb 2026	$0.08460	−0.7%	−10.5%	−27.1%
7 Nov 2025	$0.1303	−0.4%	−7.3%	−18.7%
12 Oct 2025	$0.1280	+2.7%	+1.8%	−1.3%
22 Aug 2025	$0.1510	−1.9%	−4.8%	−16.4%

The 12 most recent. All 92 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 5% above the close one day earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

Coin	Cases	Higher after 7d	Median	Gap	Verdict
Shiba Inu	105	30%	−5.0%	−3.6%	Strong evidence · leans down
Radworks	96	35%	−4.0%	−3.1%	Strong evidence · leans down
Audius	139	38%	−3.9%	−2.7%	Some evidence · leans down
Sun	100	38%	−2.4%	−2.0%	Weak evidence
Amp	78	35%	−4.2%	−2.0%	Weak evidence
Prom	68	53%	+1.9%	+2.1%	Weak evidence
Filecoin	139	40%	−2.9%	−1.8%	Weak evidence
Raydium	151	38%	−3.4%	−2.6%	Weak evidence

5% rise in a day across all 94 coins

Other Request signals

10% rise in 3 daysStrong evidence · 58 cases 10% jump in a dayStrong evidence · 30 cases 10% drop in a dayStrong evidence · 22 cases 20% rise in 7 daysStrong evidence · 21 cases 20% rise in 3 daysStrong evidence · 20 cases 7% rise in a dayStrong evidence · 49 cases

Full Request record

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