What happens to Request after a 20% drop in 3 days?

Since 2021, Request has shown a 20% drop in 3 days 13 times. In the 12 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 33% of the time, with a median move of −6.2%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for REQ is −0.5%.

Weak evidence46

There is a gap, but once you allow for how many studies were run, a gap this large is luck about 32% of the time, so it should not be relied on.

Cases since 202113last on 29 May 2026

Higher after 7 days33%ordinary: 47%

Median 7-day move−6.2%ordinary: −0.5%

Could be luck32%allowing for 3,572 studies

Worst / best case−18% / +13%over 7 days

Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary REQ drift

Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 13 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

After	Cases	Higher	Median move	Middle half	Ordinary median	Gap	By luck	Proof score
1 day	12	42%	−0.3%	−5.5% to +3.5%	−0.1%	−0.3%	90%	33
3 days	12	50%	−0.8%	−4.6% to +7.3%	−0.2%	−0.6%	89%	9
7 days	12	33%	−6.2%	−7.9% to +1.5%	−0.5%	−5.7%	32%	46
14 days	12	58%	+3.2%	−11.7% to +10.4%	−1.1%	+4.3%	72%	15
30 days	12	50%	+0.6%	−14.5% to +24.9%	−3.0%	+3.6%	90%	11

“Ordinary median” is the median move of REQ over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 2.9%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−12.5%ordinary REQ: −5.9%

1 case in 4 dipped past−20.7%before day 7

Fell 10% or more on the way58%ordinary: 27%

Typical best point+11.1%highest price within 7 days

Median after costs−6.5%ordinary: −0.8%

Ahead after costs33%ordinary: 45%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 7 the gap over 7 days was −6.3%, and in the later 5 it was −4.8%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

Date	Close	+1d	+7d	+30d
29 May 2026	$0.06570	+0.6%	−18.1%	−18.7%
21 Apr 2026	$0.07910	−0.4%	−8.0%	−13.1%
3 Feb 2025	$0.09380	−4.8%	+0.3%	+24.2%
13 Apr 2024	$0.1183	+10.3%	+12.7%	+1.9%
29 Mar 2024	$0.1618	−0.3%	−5.3%	−19.0%
13 Oct 2023	$0.07620	−0.9%	−7.9%	+15.0%
9 Nov 2022	$0.07610	+16.3%	+7.2%	+27.1%
13 Jun 2022	$0.08890	+1.2%	−9.2%	+27.1%
11 May 2022	$0.1164	−15.4%	−7.0%	−0.7%
21 Jan 2022	$0.2370	−7.8%	−6.8%	−7.0%
28 Nov 2021	$0.5795	−15.3%	−5.7%	−38.4%
21 Sep 2021	$0.1693	+12.2%	+5.0%	+28.1%

The 12 most recent. All 13 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 20% below the close 3 days earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

Coin	Cases	Higher after 7d	Median	Gap	Verdict
Reserve Rights	39	54%	+4.2%	+5.6%	Weak evidence
Harmony	34	35%	−6.7%	−5.4%	Weak evidence
Neo	30	53%	+2.6%	+3.2%	Weak evidence
Gitcoin	34	32%	−3.9%	−2.8%	Weak evidence
Zcash	24	63%	+5.5%	+5.4%	Weak evidence
1inch	21	71%	+3.2%	+4.5%	Weak evidence
Litecoin	24	67%	+2.6%	+2.8%	Weak evidence
Audius	25	56%	+1.3%	+2.4%	Weak evidence

20% drop in 3 days across all 94 coins

Other Request signals

10% rise in 3 daysStrong evidence · 58 cases 10% jump in a dayStrong evidence · 30 cases 10% drop in a dayStrong evidence · 22 cases 20% rise in 7 daysStrong evidence · 21 cases 20% rise in 3 daysStrong evidence · 20 cases 7% rise in a dayStrong evidence · 49 cases

Full Request record

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