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Request · REQ/USDT · daily

What happens to Request after a 15% drop in 3 days?

Since 2021, Request has shown a 15% drop in 3 days 24 times. In the 23 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 17% of the time, with a median move of −6.4%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for REQ is −0.5%.

Strong evidence · leans down84

Even after allowing for every study on this site, a gap that size is luck about 8.6% of the time and it pointed the same way in the earlier and the later part of the history. The lean is downward.

Cases since 202124last on 29 May 2026
Higher after 7 days17%ordinary: 47%
Median 7-day move−6.4%ordinary: −0.5%
Could be luck8.6%allowing for 3,572 studies
Worst / best case−25% / +14%over 7 days
Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary REQ drift
−20%−10%0%+10%+20% -5dsignal+7d+14d+30d
Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 24 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

AfterCasesHigherMedian moveMiddle halfOrdinary medianGapBy luckProof score
1 day2339%−0.9%−6.6% to +2.1%−0.1%−0.8%49%18
3 days2348%−3.2%−8.2% to +4.3%−0.2%−2.9%17%65
7 days2317%−6.4%−13.7% to −4.0%−0.5%−5.9%8.6%84
14 days2313%−7.0%−13.6% to −3.3%−1.1%−5.8%34%48
30 days2326%−11.7%−17.6% to −0.2%−3.0%−8.7%41%49

“Ordinary median” is the median move of REQ over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 0.2%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−16.0%ordinary REQ: −5.9%
1 case in 4 dipped past−22.7%before day 7
Fell 10% or more on the way61%ordinary: 27%
Typical best point+6.3%highest price within 7 days
Median after costs−6.7%ordinary: −0.8%
Ahead after costs17%ordinary: 45%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Did it hold up over time?

Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 13 the gap over 7 days was −5.4%, and in the later 10 it was −5.9%. Same direction both times.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

DateClose+1d+7d+30d
29 May 2026$0.06570+0.6%−18.1%−18.7%
21 Apr 2026$0.07910−0.4%−8.0%−13.1%
5 Feb 2026$0.08040+5.2%−7.6%−23.6%
2 Apr 2025$0.1029+3.4%−6.4%+22.2%
2 Feb 2025$0.1002−6.4%−6.4%+17.3%
16 Dec 2024$0.1344−6.8%−12.9%−6.4%
9 Dec 2024$0.1174+1.6%+14.5%+1.7%
12 Apr 2024$0.1362−13.1%−4.0%−11.7%
29 Mar 2024$0.1618−0.3%−5.3%−19.0%
16 Mar 2024$0.1284+4.2%+2.8%−2.1%
13 Oct 2023$0.07620−0.9%−7.9%+15.0%
17 Aug 2023$0.06620+0.3%−0.3%−3.5%

The 12 most recent. All 24 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 15% below the close 3 days earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

CoinCasesHigher after 7dMedianGapVerdict
Prom2966%+7.3%+7.5%Strong evidence · leans up
XRP4260%+2.4%+3.1%Weak evidence
Uniswap4562%+4.4%+4.8%Weak evidence
Dogecoin3967%+2.4%+3.3%Weak evidence
Cosmos5054%+3.2%+4.0%Weak evidence
Kava5961%+3.2%+3.8%Weak evidence
Phala Network5237%−4.9%−3.4%Weak evidence
The Sandbox5254%+1.8%+3.1%Weak evidence

15% drop in 3 days across all 94 coins

Other Request signals

Full Request record

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