What happens to Radworks after a 50% rise in 30 days?

Since 2021, Radworks has shown a 50% rise in 30 days 9 times. In the 9 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 11% of the time, with a median move of −11.1%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for RAD is −0.9%.

Too few cases

With 9 completed cases there is not enough history to judge this one.

Cases since 20219last on 11 May 2026

Higher after 7 days11%ordinary: 45%

Median 7-day move−11.1%ordinary: −0.9%

Could be luck0.9%allowing for 3,572 studies

Worst / best case−36% / +7%over 7 days

Median path after the signalMiddle half of casesOrdinary RAD drift

Price change relative to the close on the signal day. Based on the 9 cases with a full 30 days of history after them.

By holding period

After	Cases	Higher	Median move	Middle half	Ordinary median	Gap	By luck
1 day	9	44%	−1.3%	−13.6% to +4.0%	−0.2%	−1.0%	40%
3 days	9	33%	−1.6%	−8.8% to +1.8%	−0.4%	−1.2%	59%
7 days	9	11%	−11.1%	−15.8% to −10.2%	−0.9%	−10.2%	0.9%
14 days	9	11%	−11.6%	−13.2% to −3.9%	−1.7%	−9.9%	6.5%
30 days	9	0%	−19.2%	−35.0% to −11.7%	−4.3%	−14.9%	5.9%

“Ordinary median” is the median move of RAD over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 0.9%).

Holding it for 7 days

Typical dip on the way−17.6%ordinary RAD: −6.7%

1 case in 4 dipped past−21.1%before day 7

Fell 10% or more on the way89%ordinary: 34%

Typical best point+15.7%highest price within 7 days

Median after costs−11.4%ordinary: −1.2%

Ahead after costs11%ordinary: 44%

Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.

Every occurrence

One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.

Date	Close	+1d	+7d	+30d
11 May 2026	$0.3350	−14.3%	−15.8%	−32.2%
3 Dec 2024	$1.67	+4.0%	−10.6%	−19.2%
26 Mar 2024	$3.01	+5.3%	−13.8%	−40.5%
12 Mar 2024	$2.84	−1.8%	−11.1%	−12.2%
2 May 2023	$3.96	−15.9%	−36.1%	−54.0%
9 Aug 2022	$2.64	−1.3%	−10.2%	−1.2%
2 Aug 2022	$2.46	+0.4%	+7.1%	−8.8%
26 Jul 2022	$2.65	+15.4%	−6.9%	−11.7%
27 Nov 2021	$17.05	−13.6%	−35.7%	−35.0%

The 12 most recent. All 9 are in the open data file.

The rule

Close at least 50% above the close 30 days earlier.

Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.

The same signal on other coins

Coin	Cases	Higher after 7d	Median	Gap	Verdict
Audius	33	73%	+10.6%	+11.8%	Strong evidence · leans up
Phala Network	32	28%	−9.7%	−8.2%	Strong evidence · leans down
Fetch.ai	78	60%	+5.2%	+6.4%	Strong evidence · leans up
Gitcoin	25	24%	−12.6%	−11.4%	Strong evidence · leans down
Injective	60	58%	+7.0%	+7.0%	Strong evidence · leans up
Hedera	45	56%	+4.3%	+5.5%	Strong evidence · leans up
DeXe	37	62%	+4.4%	+4.7%	Weak evidence
XRP	38	37%	−3.9%	−3.1%	Weak evidence

50% rise in 30 days across all 94 coins

Other Radworks signals

10% rise in 3 daysStrong evidence · 61 cases 10% jump in a dayStrong evidence · 35 cases 7% rise in a dayStrong evidence · 62 cases 20% rise in 7 daysStrong evidence · 26 cases 20% rise in 3 daysStrong evidence · 20 cases 5% rise in a dayStrong evidence · 96 cases

Full Radworks record

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