Optimism in November: how it has done every year
Optimism has finished November higher in 2 of 4 years since 2022, with a median return of +8.3%. Across all months it finishes higher 30% of the time, with a median of −8.5%.
4 years are far too few to call anything a pattern.
Higher in2 of 4years · all months: 30%
Median November+8.3%average +12.1%
Best+52%2024
Worst−20%2025
November 2026 so far−29.4%through 14 Nov 2026
Year by year
| Year | Open | Close | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 2025 | $0.3992 | $0.3187 | −20.2% |
| November 2024 | $1.61 | $2.45 | +51.8% |
| November 2023 | $1.40 | $1.67 | +19.8% |
| November 2022 | $1.04 | $1.00 | −3.2% |
Open of the first daily candle of the month to the close of the last, UTC, Binance spot. Only full months are counted. Past months do not predict the next one.
Other months
Octoberhigher in 2 of 5 · median −7.8%Decemberhigher in 1 of 4 · median −12.2%All 12 monthsOptimism seasonality table
