Optimism in January: how it has done every year
Optimism has finished January higher in 1 of 4 years since 2023, with a median return of −15.5%. Across all months it finishes higher 30% of the time, with a median of −8.5%.
4 years are far too few to call anything a pattern.
Higher in1 of 4years · all months: 30%
Median January−15.5%average +20.8%
Best+136%2023
Worst−22%2024
Year by year
| Year | Open | Close | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | $0.2679 | $0.2345 | −12.5% |
| January 2025 | $1.75 | $1.43 | −18.6% |
| January 2024 | $3.71 | $2.90 | −21.7% |
| January 2023 | $0.9180 | $2.17 | +135.9% |
Open of the first daily candle of the month to the close of the last, UTC, Binance spot. Only full months are counted. Past months do not predict the next one.
Other months
Decemberhigher in 1 of 4 · median −12.2%Februaryhigher in 2 of 4 · median +0.3%All 12 monthsOptimism seasonality table
