1inch · 1INCH/USDT · daily
What happens to 1inch after a 30% rise in 7 days?
Since 2020, 1inch has shown a 30% rise in 7 days 20 times. In the 18 cases old enough to score, the price was higher 7 days later 39% of the time, with a median move of −10.1%. On an ordinary day the median 7-day move for 1INCH is −1.3%.
Strong evidence · leans down73
Even after allowing for every study on this site, a gap that size is luck about 13% of the time and it pointed the same way in the earlier and the later part of the history. The lean is downward.
By holding period
| After | Cases | Higher | Median move | Middle half | Ordinary median | Gap | By luck | Proof score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day | 18 | 22% | −3.8% | −5.3% to −0.8% | 0.0% | −3.8% | 1.2% | 89 |
| 3 days | 18 | 44% | −3.5% | −10.7% to +6.8% | −0.2% | −3.3% | 37% | 45 |
| 7 days | 18 | 39% | −10.1% | −15.1% to +8.4% | −1.3% | −8.8% | 13% | 73 |
| 14 days | 18 | 44% | −4.7% | −18.6% to +5.0% | −2.6% | −2.0% | 94% | 12 |
| 30 days | 18 | 28% | −15.0% | −29.7% to +3.8% | −6.0% | −9.1% | 72% | 43 |
“Ordinary median” is the median move of 1INCH over the same number of days starting from any day. “Gap” is the signal's median minus the ordinary one. “By luck” is how often a gap at least that large comes from randomly chosen days, corrected for the 3,572 studies run at each holding period (for this study taken alone: 0.4%).
Holding it for 7 days
Dips and best points use each day's low and high, measured from the close on the signal day. Costs assume 0.3% for a round trip: a 0.1% exchange fee each way and 0.05% slippage each way.
Did it hold up over time?
Splitting the cases by date: in the earlier 10 the gap over 7 days was −5.3%, and in the later 8 it was −9.9%. Same direction both times.
Every occurrence
One square per occurrence, oldest first. Green: higher 7 days later. Red: lower. Grey: not yet 7 days old.
| Date | Close | +1d | +7d | +30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2025 | $0.2115 | −3.9% | −14.5% | −15.6% |
| 11 Jul 2025 | $0.2955 | +9.1% | +7.0% | −5.0% |
| 13 May 2025 | $0.2471 | −4.4% | −8.8% | −17.2% |
| 3 Dec 2024 | $0.5106 | +2.2% | −15.3% | −21.2% |
| 24 Nov 2024 | $0.3968 | −3.7% | +12.1% | +5.2% |
| 11 Nov 2024 | $0.3076 | −1.2% | +8.3% | +60.3% |
| 16 Jul 2023 | $0.4321 | −6.8% | −24.3% | −33.8% |
| 19 Jul 2022 | $0.7360 | −8.0% | −13.6% | −0.4% |
| 25 Jun 2022 | $0.7290 | −5.1% | −12.6% | −14.5% |
| 27 Oct 2021 | $5.72 | −10.1% | −22.7% | −35.8% |
| 20 Oct 2021 | $4.17 | −0.6% | +37.2% | −6.8% |
| 5 Oct 2021 | $3.27 | −4.8% | −11.4% | +37.7% |
The 12 most recent. All 20 are in the open data file.
The rule
Close at least 30% above the close 7 days earlier.
Occurrences closer than 7 days to the previous one are not counted again. The signal is confirmed at the daily close (00:00 UTC) and returns are measured from that close. Full method.
The same signal on other coins
| Coin | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Gap | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DODO | 24 | 29% | −12.9% | −12.0% | Strong evidence · leans down |
 Stellar | 28 | 61% | +5.7% | +6.9% | Strong evidence · leans up |
 Audius | 33 | 33% | −8.2% | −7.0% | Strong evidence · leans down |
 Conflux | 29 | 34% | −10.3% | −8.8% | Strong evidence · leans down |
 Tellor | 42 | 40% | −8.1% | −7.7% | Strong evidence · leans down |
 AVA (Travala) | 22 | 32% | −9.1% | −8.7% | Strong evidence · leans down |
 Livepeer | 27 | 33% | −9.0% | −7.2% | Some evidence · leans down |
 Horizen | 35 | 37% | −7.3% | −6.6% | Some evidence · leans down |
30% rise in 7 days across all 94 coins
Other 1inch signals
New signals are sealed in the public ledger at the daily close. Members see them immediately; everyone else sees them a day later.
See today's signals