Uniswap seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, Uniswap's best month has been July (+27.5%, higher in 5 of 6 years) and its worst January (−14.0%, higher in 2 of 6). Across all 73 full months, it finished higher 47% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −14.0% | +30.4% | +244% (2021) | −31% (2022) | 69% |
| February | 6 | 2 of 6 | −2.3% | +9.8% | +85% (2024) | −36% (2025) | 69% |
| March | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.2% | +2.6% | +26% (2021) | −20% (2025) | 100% |
| April | 6 | 1 of 6 | −11.0% | −12.2% | +45% (2021) | −46% (2024) | 23% |
| May | 6 | 2 of 6 | −6.5% | −0.5% | +41% (2024) | −31% (2021) | 69% |
| June | 6 | 2 of 6 | −7.4% | −6.0% | +18% (2025) | −32% (2021) | 69% |
| July | 6 | 5 of 6 | +27.5% | +27.9% | +66% (2022) | −23% (2024) | 10% |
| August | 6 | 3 of 6 | −7.1% | −3.0% | +35% (2021) | −33% (2023) | 100% |
| September | 6 | 4 of 6 | +3.5% | +10.1% | +70% (2026) | −21% (2025) | 43% |
| October | 7 | 3 of 7 | −6.9% | −11.5% | +8% (2022) | −45% (2020) | 100% |
| November | 6 | 4 of 6 | +24.4% | +25.5% | +68% (2024) | −16% (2022) | 43% |
| December | 6 | 3 of 6 | −1.5% | +3.8% | +36% (2020) | −20% (2021) | 100% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 321 | 49% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Tuesday | 321 | 47% | −0.19% | −0.08% |
| Wednesday | 321 | 52% | +0.27% | +0.61% |
| Thursday | 321 | 45% | −0.56% | −0.13% |
| Friday | 322 | 49% | −0.11% | +0.47% |
| Saturday | 322 | 52% | +0.16% | +0.33% |
| Sunday | 321 | 45% | −0.32% | +0.19% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.