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Uniswap seasonality: every month and weekday

Going by median return since 2020, Uniswap's best month has been July (+27.5%, higher in 5 of 6 years) and its worst January (−14.0%, higher in 2 of 6). Across all 73 full months, it finished higher 47% of the time.

A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.

By month

MonthYearsHigherMedianAverageBestWorstBy luck
January62 of 6−14.0%+30.4%+244% (2021)−31% (2022)69%
February62 of 6−2.3%+9.8%+85% (2024)−36% (2025)69%
March63 of 6+0.2%+2.6%+26% (2021)−20% (2025)100%
April61 of 6−11.0%−12.2%+45% (2021)−46% (2024)23%
May62 of 6−6.5%−0.5%+41% (2024)−31% (2021)69%
June62 of 6−7.4%−6.0%+18% (2025)−32% (2021)69%
July65 of 6+27.5%+27.9%+66% (2022)−23% (2024)10%
August63 of 6−7.1%−3.0%+35% (2021)−33% (2023)100%
September64 of 6+3.5%+10.1%+70% (2026)−21% (2025)43%
October73 of 7−6.9%−11.5%+8% (2022)−45% (2020)100%
November64 of 6+24.4%+25.5%+68% (2024)−16% (2022)43%
December63 of 6−1.5%+3.8%+36% (2020)−20% (2021)100%

By weekday

Day (UTC)DaysHigherMedian daily moveAverage
Monday32149%0.00%0.00%
Tuesday32147%−0.19%−0.08%
Wednesday32152%+0.27%+0.61%
Thursday32145%−0.56%−0.13%
Friday32249%−0.11%+0.47%
Saturday32252%+0.16%+0.33%
Sunday32145%−0.32%+0.19%

A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.

Seasonality for all 94 coins · Uniswap signal record

62 signals sealed at the last closeSee them