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The Sandbox seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, The Sandbox's best month has been November (+27.5%, higher in 4 of 6 years) and its worst June (−23.0%, higher in 0 of 6). Across all 74 full months, it finished higher 36% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −4.8% | +26.4% | +134% (2021) | −30% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 6 | 2 of 6 | −11.8% | +20.1% | +166% (2021) | −39% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 6 | 3 of 6 | −1.4% | +41.8% | +264% (2021) | −15% (2025) | 68% |
| April | 6 | 1 of 6 | −15.2% | −18.1% | +9% (2025) | −42% (2022) | 43% |
| May | 6 | 1 of 6 | −7.9% | −14.6% | +3% (2024) | −46% (2021) | 43% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −23.0% | −23.2% | −11% (2025) | −34% (2026) | 9.3% |
| July | 6 | 4 of 6 | +7.7% | +29.5% | +160% (2021) | −8% (2026) | 20% |
| August | 6 | 2 of 6 | −14.7% | −5.7% | +49% (2021) | −28% (2022) | 100% |
| September | 7 | 3 of 7 | −4.4% | −8.0% | +15% (2026) | −34% (2020) | 100% |
| October | 7 | 4 of 7 | +3.3% | +14.0% | +134% (2021) | −24% (2025) | 43% |
| November | 6 | 4 of 6 | +27.5% | +84.1% | +332% (2021) | −32% (2022) | 20% |
| December | 6 | 1 of 6 | −22.2% | −12.7% | +46% (2023) | −35% (2022) | 43% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 326 | 47% | −0.28% | −0.46% |
| Tuesday | 326 | 45% | −0.51% | −0.35% |
| Wednesday | 326 | 48% | −0.30% | +0.64% |
| Thursday | 326 | 47% | −0.28% | +0.32% |
| Friday | 326 | 55% | +0.34% | +0.63% |
| Saturday | 327 | 54% | +0.31% | +0.69% |
| Sunday | 326 | 45% | −0.52% | −0.04% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.