Polymesh seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2022, Polymesh's best month has been September (+15.0%, higher in 3 of 4 years) and its worst December (−21.0%, higher in 0 of 4). Across all 48 full months, it finished higher 40% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 4 | 1 of 4 | −16.1% | +1.7% | +59% (2023) | −20% (2024) | 66% |
| February | 4 | 2 of 4 | +0.2% | +0.9% | +32% (2024) | −29% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 4 | 2 of 4 | −3.1% | +49.6% | +222% (2024) | −17% (2025) | 100% |
| April | 4 | 3 of 4 | +3.4% | −6.9% | +13% (2025) | −47% (2024) | 31% |
| May | 4 | 2 of 4 | −1.1% | −0.9% | +21% (2024) | −22% (2023) | 100% |
| June | 4 | 0 of 4 | −20.7% | −20.8% | −11% (2025) | −31% (2024) | 16% |
| July | 4 | 2 of 4 | +0.6% | −0.6% | +11% (2025) | −14% (2024) | 100% |
| August | 4 | 1 of 4 | −9.2% | −9.4% | +3% (2026) | −22% (2023) | 66% |
| September | 4 | 3 of 4 | +15.0% | +11.7% | +29% (2026) | −13% (2025) | 31% |
| October | 4 | 1 of 4 | −16.7% | +11.6% | +109% (2023) | −29% (2025) | 66% |
| November | 4 | 2 of 4 | −8.2% | +9.1% | +73% (2024) | −20% (2023) | 100% |
| December | 4 | 0 of 4 | −21.0% | −19.2% | −3% (2023) | −31% (2024) | 16% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 212 | 50% | 0.00% | −0.08% |
| Tuesday | 213 | 47% | −0.19% | −0.12% |
| Wednesday | 213 | 49% | 0.00% | −0.34% |
| Thursday | 213 | 48% | −0.05% | +0.06% |
| Friday | 213 | 55% | +0.42% | +0.60% |
| Saturday | 213 | 54% | +0.28% | +0.29% |
| Sunday | 212 | 46% | −0.48% | −0.45% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.