Polkadot seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, Polkadot's best month has been November (+5.9%, higher in 3 of 6 years) and its worst June (−23.1%, higher in 0 of 6). Across all 74 full months, it finished higher 39% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −9.2% | +9.1% | +74% (2021) | −27% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 6 | 4 of 6 | +4.4% | +19.2% | +110% (2021) | −25% (2025) | 22% |
| March | 6 | 3 of 6 | +4.8% | −0.1% | +17% (2024) | −25% (2026) | 68% |
| April | 6 | 1 of 6 | −5.6% | −12.8% | +1% (2025) | −33% (2024) | 41% |
| May | 6 | 2 of 6 | −5.5% | −11.1% | +9% (2024) | −36% (2021) | 100% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −23.1% | −20.4% | −3% (2023) | −32% (2022) | 8.8% |
| July | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.5% | +1.7% | +22% (2022) | −13% (2024) | 68% |
| August | 6 | 3 of 6 | −7.4% | +7.2% | +87% (2021) | −21% (2024) | 68% |
| September | 7 | 3 of 7 | −3.9% | +0.1% | +46% (2026) | −31% (2020) | 100% |
| October | 7 | 3 of 7 | −3.7% | −0.1% | +49% (2021) | −26% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 6 | 3 of 6 | +5.9% | +20.9% | +126% (2024) | −23% (2025) | 68% |
| December | 6 | 2 of 6 | −20.0% | +4.4% | +72% (2020) | −30% (2021) | 100% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 325 | 47% | −0.32% | −0.18% |
| Tuesday | 325 | 46% | −0.32% | −0.21% |
| Wednesday | 326 | 48% | −0.25% | +0.43% |
| Thursday | 326 | 44% | −0.64% | −0.20% |
| Friday | 326 | 51% | +0.14% | +0.26% |
| Saturday | 326 | 54% | +0.22% | +0.57% |
| Sunday | 325 | 46% | −0.38% | −0.17% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.