Pendle seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2023, Pendle's best month has been April (+26.7%, higher in 2 of 3 years) and its worst February (−19.4%, higher in 1 of 3). Across all 39 full months, it finished higher 49% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3 | 1 of 3 | −15.1% | +25.6% | +115% (2024) | −23% (2025) | 100% |
| February | 3 | 1 of 3 | −19.4% | −6.3% | +24% (2024) | −23% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 3 | 1 of 3 | −5.4% | +18.3% | +74% (2024) | −13% (2026) | 100% |
| April | 3 | 2 of 3 | +26.7% | +10.5% | +28% (2026) | −23% (2024) | 62% |
| May | 3 | 2 of 3 | +16.0% | +19.4% | +46% (2024) | −4% (2026) | 62% |
| June | 3 | 0 of 3 | −13.4% | −11.8% | −4% (2026) | −18% (2024) | 25% |
| July | 3 | 2 of 3 | +8.9% | −2.1% | +17% (2025) | −32% (2024) | 62% |
| August | 4 | 2 of 4 | +3.3% | +4.0% | +22% (2026) | −13% (2023) | 100% |
| September | 4 | 3 of 4 | +23.1% | +19.7% | +36% (2026) | −3% (2025) | 36% |
| October | 4 | 2 of 4 | −4.7% | −3.4% | +27% (2023) | −31% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 3 | 2 of 3 | +14.0% | +7.1% | +21% (2024) | −13% (2025) | 62% |
| December | 3 | 1 of 3 | −15.5% | −10.4% | +13% (2023) | −29% (2025) | 100% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 175 | 47% | −0.32% | +0.39% |
| Tuesday | 176 | 43% | −0.84% | −0.46% |
| Wednesday | 176 | 53% | +0.67% | +0.81% |
| Thursday | 176 | 41% | −0.81% | +0.03% |
| Friday | 176 | 55% | +0.48% | +0.88% |
| Saturday | 176 | 45% | −0.15% | +0.15% |
| Sunday | 175 | 42% | −0.75% | −0.38% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.