Neo seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2017, Neo's best month has been February (+17.0%, higher in 5 of 9 years) and its worst June (−20.4%, higher in 1 of 9). Across all 107 full months, it finished higher 41% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9 | 5 of 9 | +5.8% | +17.4% | +96% (2018) | −23% (2022) | 50% |
| February | 9 | 5 of 9 | +17.0% | +13.9% | +58% (2021) | −33% (2025) | 50% |
| March | 9 | 5 of 9 | +5.3% | −5.6% | +44% (2021) | −62% (2018) | 50% |
| April | 9 | 6 of 9 | +2.7% | +16.7% | +91% (2021) | −38% (2022) | 17% |
| May | 9 | 3 of 9 | −2.8% | −7.3% | +39% (2019) | −42% (2021) | 75% |
| June | 9 | 1 of 9 | −20.4% | −17.2% | +24% (2019) | −42% (2018) | 9.1% |
| July | 9 | 4 of 9 | −1.9% | +4.1% | +30% (2022) | −30% (2019) | 100% |
| August | 9 | 4 of 9 | −10.1% | −0.3% | +67% (2020) | −33% (2018) | 100% |
| September | 9 | 3 of 9 | −5.7% | −3.4% | +24% (2026) | −25% (2021) | 75% |
| October | 9 | 3 of 9 | −10.2% | −1.0% | +39% (2019) | −23% (2020) | 75% |
| November | 8 | 3 of 8 | −13.1% | +0.2% | +68% (2024) | −50% (2018) | 100% |
| December | 9 | 2 of 9 | −12.3% | +5.0% | +131% (2017) | −32% (2021) | 32% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 468 | 50% | +0.05% | +0.12% |
| Tuesday | 469 | 48% | −0.18% | −0.28% |
| Wednesday | 469 | 51% | +0.17% | +0.08% |
| Thursday | 469 | 47% | −0.35% | −0.41% |
| Friday | 469 | 54% | +0.31% | +0.33% |
| Saturday | 469 | 51% | +0.14% | +0.25% |
| Sunday | 468 | 51% | +0.08% | +0.32% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.