Memecoin seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2023, Memecoin's best month has been September (+13.5%, higher in 2 of 3 years) and its worst February (−28.6%, higher in 1 of 3). Across all 35 full months, it finished higher 40% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3 | 0 of 3 | −20.0% | −22.6% | −15% (2026) | −33% (2025) | 28% |
| February | 3 | 1 of 3 | −28.6% | −10.0% | +45% (2024) | −46% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 3 | 1 of 3 | −13.0% | −11.4% | +25% (2024) | −46% (2025) | 100% |
| April | 3 | 2 of 3 | +3.2% | −9.5% | +7% (2026) | −39% (2024) | 57% |
| May | 3 | 2 of 3 | +8.2% | +6.8% | +25% (2024) | −13% (2025) | 57% |
| June | 3 | 1 of 3 | −16.0% | −17.4% | +2% (2026) | −38% (2024) | 100% |
| July | 3 | 1 of 3 | −14.7% | −4.5% | +27% (2025) | −25% (2024) | 100% |
| August | 3 | 1 of 3 | −0.2% | +2.7% | +38% (2025) | −30% (2024) | 100% |
| September | 3 | 2 of 3 | +13.5% | +7.4% | +21% (2024) | −12% (2025) | 57% |
| October | 3 | 1 of 3 | −25.8% | −19.2% | +4% (2024) | −36% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 2 | 1 of 2 | +7.1% | +7.1% | +31% (2024) | −17% (2025) | 100% |
| December | 3 | 1 of 3 | −22.6% | −18.5% | +1% (2023) | −34% (2024) | 100% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 158 | 47% | −0.15% | −0.09% |
| Tuesday | 158 | 44% | −0.59% | −0.73% |
| Wednesday | 158 | 47% | −0.39% | −0.07% |
| Thursday | 158 | 39% | −1.58% | −0.71% |
| Friday | 158 | 51% | +0.32% | +0.88% |
| Saturday | 159 | 45% | −0.39% | −0.04% |
| Sunday | 158 | 40% | −1.07% | −0.42% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.