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Immutable seasonality: every month and weekday

Going by median return since 2022, Immutable's best month has been September (+23.9%, higher in 4 of 5 years) and its worst October (−26.2%, higher in 1 of 5). Across all 57 full months, it finished higher 37% of the time.

A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.

By month

MonthYearsHigherMedianAverageBestWorstBy luck
January41 of 4−12.1%+13.9%+96% (2023)−16% (2026)100%
February52 of 5−10.2%+3.5%+65% (2024)−42% (2022)100%
March52 of 5−4.7%+2.3%+51% (2022)−27% (2025)100%
April52 of 5−13.4%−13.9%+17% (2026)−42% (2022)100%
May51 of 5−2.0%−6.9%+13% (2024)−26% (2023)66%
June51 of 5−19.1%−16.6%+2% (2023)−30% (2026)66%
July53 of 5+3.1%+1.7%+16% (2025)−12% (2024)36%
August51 of 5−2.2%−7.4%+17% (2026)−27% (2023)66%
September54 of 5+23.9%+17.8%+35% (2025)−9% (2022)6.5%
October51 of 5−26.2%−18.6%+11% (2023)−29% (2024)66%
November42 of 4+21.6%+24.9%+95% (2023)−38% (2025)63%
December41 of 4−23.4%−3.3%+66% (2023)−33% (2024)100%

By weekday

Day (UTC)DaysHigherMedian daily moveAverage
Monday25252%+0.28%+0.14%
Tuesday25344%−0.38%−0.28%
Wednesday25345%−0.72%+0.06%
Thursday25343%−0.88%−0.54%
Friday25351%+0.02%+0.37%
Saturday25347%−0.13%+0.34%
Sunday25241%−1.07%−0.40%

A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.

Seasonality for all 94 coins · Immutable signal record

62 signals sealed at the last closeSee them