Filecoin seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, Filecoin's best month has been February (+13.0%, higher in 4 of 6 years) and its worst December (−24.9%, higher in 1 of 6). Across all 72 full months, it finished higher 33% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 1 of 6 | −13.8% | −3.8% | +74% (2023) | −38% (2022) | 67% |
| February | 6 | 4 of 6 | +13.0% | +19.2% | +64% (2024) | −32% (2025) | 19% |
| March | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.2% | +70.3% | +431% (2021) | −17% (2026) | 67% |
| April | 6 | 1 of 6 | −9.4% | −15.6% | +11% (2026) | −44% (2024) | 67% |
| May | 6 | 2 of 6 | −9.8% | −19.2% | +2% (2024) | −56% (2021) | 100% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −19.3% | −20.4% | −11% (2025) | −33% (2022) | 19% |
| July | 6 | 3 of 6 | +1.8% | +12.1% | +81% (2022) | −14% (2021) | 67% |
| August | 6 | 1 of 6 | −10.1% | −7.4% | +46% (2021) | −41% (2022) | 67% |
| September | 6 | 3 of 6 | +1.6% | +6.4% | +53% (2026) | −21% (2021) | 67% |
| October | 6 | 2 of 6 | −5.9% | −6.3% | +14% (2023) | −31% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.3% | +13.4% | +100% (2024) | −18% (2022) | 67% |
| December | 6 | 1 of 6 | −24.9% | −12.9% | +58% (2023) | −36% (2021) | 67% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 317 | 49% | −0.09% | −0.43% |
| Tuesday | 317 | 44% | −0.58% | −0.45% |
| Wednesday | 317 | 49% | −0.02% | +0.11% |
| Thursday | 317 | 44% | −0.64% | −0.24% |
| Friday | 318 | 54% | +0.42% | +0.40% |
| Saturday | 318 | 52% | +0.16% | +0.42% |
| Sunday | 317 | 44% | −0.56% | −0.05% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.