Ethereum seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2017, Ethereum's best month has been July (+11.2%, higher in 5 of 9 years) and its worst September (−9.1%, higher in 4 of 10). Across all 110 full months, it finished higher 52% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9 | 5 of 9 | +0.1% | +15.5% | +78% (2021) | −27% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 9 | 6 of 9 | +8.1% | +4.0% | +46% (2024) | −32% (2025) | 51% |
| March | 9 | 6 of 9 | +7.2% | −3.3% | +35% (2021) | −54% (2018) | 51% |
| April | 9 | 6 of 9 | +7.2% | +17.6% | +70% (2018) | −17% (2024) | 51% |
| May | 9 | 5 of 9 | +0.2% | +9.7% | +66% (2019) | −29% (2022) | 100% |
| June | 9 | 2 of 9 | −8.6% | −11.6% | +9% (2019) | −45% (2022) | 9.8% |
| July | 9 | 5 of 9 | +11.2% | +16.5% | +57% (2022) | −25% (2019) | 100% |
| August | 9 | 4 of 9 | −7.4% | +1.6% | +35% (2021) | −35% (2018) | 75% |
| September | 10 | 4 of 10 | −9.1% | −6.9% | +9% (2026) | −21% (2017) | 54% |
| October | 10 | 5 of 10 | +0.3% | +3.7% | +43% (2021) | −16% (2026) | 100% |
| November | 9 | 5 of 9 | +8.0% | +7.6% | +60% (2020) | −43% (2018) | 100% |
| December | 9 | 4 of 9 | −0.7% | +7.1% | +71% (2017) | −21% (2021) | 75% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 482 | 52% | +0.24% | +0.32% |
| Tuesday | 482 | 47% | −0.21% | −0.07% |
| Wednesday | 482 | 51% | +0.15% | +0.40% |
| Thursday | 482 | 45% | −0.29% | −0.41% |
| Friday | 483 | 52% | +0.13% | +0.33% |
| Saturday | 483 | 57% | +0.23% | +0.33% |
| Sunday | 482 | 52% | +0.12% | +0.18% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.