Curve DAO seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, Curve DAO's best month has been November (+15.0%, higher in 4 of 6 years) and its worst February (−19.2%, higher in 1 of 6). Across all 74 full months, it finished higher 38% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −16.1% | +49.8% | +300% (2021) | −38% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 6 | 1 of 6 | −19.2% | −13.5% | +32% (2024) | −42% (2025) | 42% |
| March | 6 | 4 of 6 | +9.8% | +15.6% | +77% (2021) | −13% (2026) | 21% |
| April | 6 | 3 of 6 | +1.8% | −2.0% | +42% (2025) | −41% (2024) | 68% |
| May | 6 | 1 of 6 | −9.1% | −14.0% | +13% (2024) | −41% (2021) | 42% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −18.1% | −23.1% | −7% (2023) | −50% (2022) | 9.0% |
| July | 6 | 3 of 6 | +3.6% | +24.0% | +92% (2022) | −25% (2023) | 68% |
| August | 6 | 3 of 6 | −2.2% | +8.2% | +62% (2026) | −20% (2023) | 68% |
| September | 7 | 3 of 7 | −2.1% | −10.5% | +17% (2026) | −78% (2020) | 100% |
| October | 7 | 1 of 7 | −8.8% | −6.4% | +89% (2021) | −56% (2020) | 27% |
| November | 6 | 4 of 6 | +15.0% | +37.3% | +170% (2024) | −24% (2022) | 21% |
| December | 6 | 3 of 6 | −0.5% | +0.6% | +31% (2024) | −22% (2022) | 68% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 326 | 50% | +0.06% | +0.05% |
| Tuesday | 326 | 45% | −0.51% | +0.11% |
| Wednesday | 326 | 52% | +0.24% | +0.53% |
| Thursday | 326 | 45% | −0.68% | −0.08% |
| Friday | 326 | 49% | −0.03% | +0.31% |
| Saturday | 326 | 46% | −0.25% | +0.10% |
| Sunday | 326 | 43% | −0.92% | −0.40% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.