Cosmos seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2019, Cosmos's best month has been November (+16.7%, higher in 4 of 7 years) and its worst June (−12.4%, higher in 0 of 8). Across all 90 full months, it finished higher 49% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7 | 5 of 7 | +2.1% | +6.9% | +43% (2023) | −14% (2024) | 28% |
| February | 7 | 3 of 7 | −6.2% | +12.9% | +117% (2021) | −26% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 7 | 2 of 7 | −7.6% | −8.0% | +9% (2024) | −43% (2020) | 45% |
| April | 7 | 4 of 7 | +2.9% | +0.2% | +40% (2020) | −38% (2022) | 72% |
| May | 8 | 3 of 8 | −0.9% | −4.9% | +48% (2019) | −42% (2022) | 73% |
| June | 8 | 0 of 8 | −12.4% | −13.7% | −5% (2020) | −27% (2022) | 0.8% |
| July | 8 | 4 of 8 | −0.9% | +2.5% | +46% (2020) | −33% (2019) | 100% |
| August | 8 | 5 of 8 | +10.1% | +15.4% | +90% (2020) | −45% (2019) | 50% |
| September | 8 | 6 of 8 | +7.4% | +11.6% | +58% (2021) | −25% (2020) | 17% |
| October | 8 | 4 of 8 | −3.8% | −2.6% | +23% (2019) | −28% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 7 | 4 of 7 | +16.7% | +12.5% | +102% (2024) | −27% (2022) | 72% |
| December | 7 | 4 of 7 | +7.7% | −0.2% | +18% (2021) | −28% (2024) | 72% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 393 | 51% | +0.13% | −0.05% |
| Tuesday | 394 | 47% | −0.29% | −0.33% |
| Wednesday | 394 | 49% | −0.10% | +0.16% |
| Thursday | 394 | 46% | −0.50% | +0.13% |
| Friday | 394 | 54% | +0.47% | +0.66% |
| Saturday | 394 | 50% | +0.02% | +0.24% |
| Sunday | 393 | 45% | −0.47% | −0.03% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.