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ConstitutionDAO seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2021, ConstitutionDAO's best month has been September (+9.8%, higher in 4 of 5 years) and its worst January (−17.3%, higher in 2 of 5). Across all 58 full months, it finished higher 40% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5 | 2 of 5 | −17.3% | +14.9% | +99% (2024) | −32% (2025) | 100% |
| February | 5 | 1 of 5 | −13.5% | −0.9% | +81% (2024) | −32% (2025) | 65% |
| March | 5 | 1 of 5 | −11.6% | −11.0% | +3% (2026) | −30% (2025) | 65% |
| April | 5 | 2 of 5 | −7.0% | −15.6% | +13% (2026) | −48% (2022) | 100% |
| May | 5 | 2 of 5 | −14.1% | +46.4% | +274% (2024) | −35% (2022) | 100% |
| June | 5 | 2 of 5 | −10.4% | −8.6% | +11% (2024) | −22% (2026) | 100% |
| July | 5 | 3 of 5 | +4.7% | +10.6% | +46% (2022) | −27% (2024) | 39% |
| August | 5 | 2 of 5 | −1.2% | −9.5% | +17% (2026) | −41% (2022) | 100% |
| September | 5 | 4 of 5 | +9.8% | +8.1% | +19% (2026) | −11% (2025) | 8.4% |
| October | 5 | 1 of 5 | −13.1% | −14.0% | +12% (2023) | −33% (2025) | 65% |
| November | 4 | 2 of 4 | −0.5% | +4.9% | +32% (2022) | −11% (2025) | 100% |
| December | 4 | 1 of 4 | −13.6% | −13.4% | +4% (2023) | −30% (2024) | 66% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 255 | 52% | +0.31% | −0.17% |
| Tuesday | 255 | 48% | −0.08% | −0.22% |
| Wednesday | 255 | 48% | −0.19% | +0.49% |
| Thursday | 255 | 40% | −0.92% | −0.43% |
| Friday | 256 | 57% | +0.87% | +0.99% |
| Saturday | 256 | 49% | −0.03% | +0.65% |
| Sunday | 255 | 44% | −0.62% | −0.81% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.
Seasonality for all 94 coins · ConstitutionDAO signal record