Conflux seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2021, Conflux's best month has been March (+24.4%, higher in 4 of 5 years) and its worst June (−27.2%, higher in 0 of 6). Across all 67 full months, it finished higher 36% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5 | 3 of 5 | +1.9% | +19.3% | +147% (2023) | −43% (2022) | 36% |
| February | 5 | 3 of 5 | +18.5% | +55.8% | +259% (2023) | −29% (2025) | 36% |
| March | 5 | 4 of 5 | +24.4% | +39.8% | +112% (2023) | −29% (2025) | 5.9% |
| April | 6 | 1 of 6 | −16.7% | −18.4% | +9% (2026) | −54% (2024) | 43% |
| May | 6 | 0 of 6 | −10.4% | −20.3% | −1% (2024) | −59% (2021) | 9.5% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −27.2% | −25.2% | −2% (2025) | −38% (2021) | 9.5% |
| July | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.7% | +27.7% | +187% (2025) | −15% (2021) | 67% |
| August | 6 | 2 of 6 | −9.5% | −3.9% | +39% (2021) | −31% (2023) | 100% |
| September | 6 | 4 of 6 | +3.1% | +3.3% | +34% (2024) | −25% (2025) | 20% |
| October | 6 | 2 of 6 | −12.1% | −5.8% | +35% (2023) | −29% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 5 | 1 of 5 | −14.2% | −5.0% | +48% (2024) | −24% (2022) | 66% |
| December | 5 | 1 of 5 | −24.7% | −11.9% | +30% (2023) | −29% (2021) | 66% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 293 | 48% | −0.09% | −0.10% |
| Tuesday | 294 | 45% | −0.56% | −0.60% |
| Wednesday | 294 | 48% | −0.40% | +0.32% |
| Thursday | 294 | 48% | −0.21% | +0.45% |
| Friday | 294 | 50% | +0.07% | −0.13% |
| Saturday | 294 | 46% | −0.14% | +0.45% |
| Sunday | 293 | 43% | −0.54% | +0.24% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.