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Cardano seasonality: every month and weekday

Going by median return since 2018, Cardano's best month has been July (+7.0%, higher in 6 of 9 years) and its worst June (−20.3%, higher in 1 of 9). Across all 102 full months, it finished higher 40% of the time.

A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.

By month

MonthYearsHigherMedianAverageBestWorstBy luck
January84 of 8+2.9%+21.4%+90% (2021)−20% (2022)72%
February83 of 8−6.4%+32.0%+281% (2021)−33% (2025)100%
March84 of 8+1.9%+5.0%+63% (2019)−35% (2020)72%
April85 of 8+1.1%+1.0%+56% (2020)−34% (2022)28%
May95 of 9+0.6%+5.7%+56% (2020)−35% (2018)50%
June91 of 9−20.3%−19.0%+12% (2020)−39% (2026)9.5%
July96 of 9+7.0%+11.3%+67% (2020)−27% (2019)17%
August93 of 9−11.7%+3.4%+110% (2021)−28% (2018)75%
September92 of 9−2.6%−4.5%+25% (2026)−24% (2021)33%
October92 of 9−8.2%−8.0%+15% (2023)−25% (2025)33%
November83 of 8−11.6%+26.0%+216% (2024)−45% (2018)100%
December83 of 8−17.2%−3.9%+58% (2023)−23% (2022)100%

By weekday

Day (UTC)DaysHigherMedian daily moveAverage
Monday44749%−0.16%−0.10%
Tuesday44747%−0.28%−0.02%
Wednesday44850%−0.01%+0.40%
Thursday44845%−0.53%−0.46%
Friday44852%+0.20%+0.46%
Saturday44853%+0.25%+0.56%
Sunday44745%−0.38%−0.01%

A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.

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