Bitcoin seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2017, Bitcoin's best month has been April (+11.8%, higher in 6 of 9 years) and its worst November (−7.1%, higher in 4 of 9). Across all 110 full months, it finished higher 53% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 9 | 5 of 9 | +0.7% | +3.9% | +40% (2023) | −25% (2018) | 100% |
| February | 9 | 6 of 9 | +0.4% | +6.9% | +44% (2024) | −18% (2025) | 51% |
| March | 9 | 6 of 9 | +5.4% | +2.8% | +30% (2021) | −33% (2018) | 51% |
| April | 9 | 6 of 9 | +11.8% | +10.3% | +34% (2020) | −17% (2022) | 51% |
| May | 9 | 4 of 9 | −3.5% | +1.4% | +61% (2019) | −35% (2021) | 74% |
| June | 9 | 3 of 9 | −5.9% | −5.3% | +27% (2019) | −37% (2022) | 32% |
| July | 9 | 7 of 9 | +8.0% | +9.7% | +24% (2020) | −7% (2019) | 19% |
| August | 9 | 3 of 9 | −6.5% | −1.5% | +25% (2026) | −14% (2022) | 32% |
| September | 10 | 4 of 10 | −4.3% | −2.0% | +7% (2024) | −14% (2019) | 53% |
| October | 10 | 7 of 10 | +10.6% | +15.6% | +48% (2017) | −7% (2026) | 35% |
| November | 9 | 4 of 9 | −7.1% | +5.1% | +52% (2017) | −37% (2018) | 74% |
| December | 9 | 3 of 9 | −3.0% | +6.3% | +47% (2020) | −19% (2021) | 32% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 482 | 51% | +0.07% | +0.41% |
| Tuesday | 482 | 49% | −0.10% | 0.00% |
| Wednesday | 482 | 53% | +0.22% | +0.41% |
| Thursday | 482 | 46% | −0.21% | −0.26% |
| Friday | 483 | 52% | +0.11% | +0.24% |
| Saturday | 483 | 56% | +0.13% | +0.13% |
| Sunday | 482 | 52% | +0.05% | +0.07% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.