Aave seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, Aave's best month has been August (+19.5%, higher in 4 of 6 years) and its worst May (−10.3%, higher in 2 of 6). Across all 72 full months, it finished higher 49% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 3 of 6 | −1.9% | +39.3% | +239% (2021) | −38% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 6 | 2 of 6 | −6.9% | −4.7% | +23% (2024) | −42% (2025) | 69% |
| March | 6 | 3 of 6 | +1.9% | +6.3% | +42% (2022) | −17% (2025) | 100% |
| April | 6 | 2 of 6 | −5.4% | −9.7% | +16% (2021) | −35% (2024) | 69% |
| May | 6 | 2 of 6 | −10.3% | +3.3% | +50% (2025) | −21% (2022) | 69% |
| June | 6 | 3 of 6 | −1.2% | −10.8% | +11% (2025) | −50% (2022) | 100% |
| July | 6 | 4 of 6 | +10.2% | +18.6% | +71% (2022) | −7% (2023) | 44% |
| August | 6 | 4 of 6 | +19.5% | +10.7% | +32% (2026) | −15% (2023) | 44% |
| September | 6 | 3 of 6 | +4.4% | +2.7% | +28% (2026) | −29% (2021) | 100% |
| October | 6 | 3 of 6 | +2.0% | +0.9% | +21% (2023) | −17% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 6 | 3 of 6 | +1.2% | +26.8% | +156% (2020) | −22% (2025) | 100% |
| December | 6 | 3 of 6 | +4.7% | +5.6% | +46% (2024) | −20% (2022) | 100% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 317 | 53% | +0.57% | +0.64% |
| Tuesday | 317 | 49% | −0.13% | −0.10% |
| Wednesday | 317 | 50% | +0.20% | +0.66% |
| Thursday | 317 | 48% | −0.13% | −0.13% |
| Friday | 318 | 52% | +0.39% | +0.30% |
| Saturday | 318 | 47% | −0.08% | −0.05% |
| Sunday | 317 | 44% | −0.51% | +0.08% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.