Worldcoin seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2023, Worldcoin's best month has been September (+43.8%, higher in 4 of 4 years) and its worst March (−30.8%, higher in 1 of 3). Across all 39 full months, it finished higher 46% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3 | 0 of 3 | −15.2% | −22.0% | −14% (2026) | −37% (2024) | 25% |
| February | 3 | 1 of 3 | −3.5% | +59.4% | +219% (2024) | −37% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 3 | 1 of 3 | −30.8% | −16.5% | +12% (2024) | −31% (2025) | 100% |
| April | 3 | 1 of 3 | −12.1% | −3.4% | +47% (2025) | −45% (2024) | 100% |
| May | 3 | 3 of 3 | +6.5% | +17.1% | +44% (2026) | +1% (2025) | 9.8% |
| June | 3 | 1 of 3 | −20.9% | −17.9% | +16% (2026) | −49% (2024) | 100% |
| July | 3 | 1 of 3 | −14.8% | −9.8% | +12% (2025) | −26% (2026) | 100% |
| August | 4 | 1 of 4 | −20.7% | −17.7% | +22% (2026) | −51% (2023) | 63% |
| September | 4 | 4 of 4 | +43.8% | +39.8% | +47% (2023) | +24% (2024) | 4.5% |
| October | 4 | 2 of 4 | −10.9% | −9.0% | +22% (2023) | −36% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 3 | 2 of 3 | +19.8% | +28.7% | +89% (2024) | −22% (2025) | 60% |
| December | 3 | 1 of 3 | −22.4% | −5.2% | +49% (2023) | −42% (2024) | 100% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 172 | 48% | −0.08% | +0.40% |
| Tuesday | 173 | 40% | −1.07% | −0.78% |
| Wednesday | 173 | 48% | −0.36% | +0.70% |
| Thursday | 173 | 34% | −1.91% | −1.06% |
| Friday | 173 | 49% | −0.20% | +0.36% |
| Saturday | 173 | 50% | +0.04% | +1.22% |
| Sunday | 172 | 43% | −0.98% | −0.39% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.