The Graph seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, The Graph's best month has been February (+32.1%, higher in 3 of 6 years) and its worst December (−30.4%, higher in 1 of 5). Across all 70 full months, it finished higher 36% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −9.3% | +19.3% | +127% (2021) | −36% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 6 | 3 of 6 | +32.1% | +33.4% | +100% (2021) | −33% (2025) | 67% |
| March | 6 | 3 of 6 | +1.6% | +5.2% | +39% (2024) | −27% (2025) | 67% |
| April | 6 | 1 of 6 | −8.0% | −13.6% | +9% (2025) | −40% (2024) | 43% |
| May | 6 | 2 of 6 | −1.4% | −10.7% | +26% (2024) | −49% (2021) | 100% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −27.4% | −26.8% | −12% (2025) | −42% (2022) | 9.5% |
| July | 6 | 4 of 6 | +5.1% | +3.8% | +34% (2022) | −19% (2026) | 20% |
| August | 6 | 2 of 6 | −12.4% | −2.2% | +37% (2021) | −20% (2022) | 100% |
| September | 6 | 3 of 6 | −1.2% | +10.5% | +79% (2026) | −25% (2021) | 67% |
| October | 6 | 2 of 6 | −15.3% | −1.1% | +62% (2021) | −30% (2026) | 100% |
| November | 5 | 2 of 5 | −11.7% | +15.9% | +97% (2024) | −23% (2022) | 100% |
| December | 5 | 1 of 5 | −30.4% | −16.0% | +29% (2023) | −33% (2025) | 66% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 308 | 50% | 0.00% | −0.26% |
| Tuesday | 308 | 44% | −0.67% | −0.20% |
| Wednesday | 308 | 49% | −0.16% | −0.07% |
| Thursday | 308 | 44% | −0.78% | −0.44% |
| Friday | 309 | 50% | +0.06% | +0.55% |
| Saturday | 309 | 49% | 0.00% | +0.93% |
| Sunday | 308 | 43% | −0.35% | +0.37% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.