Stacks seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2019, Stacks's best month has been February (+27.7%, higher in 4 of 7 years) and its worst December (−18.0%, higher in 2 of 7). Across all 84 full months, it finished higher 44% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7 | 5 of 7 | +0.2% | +0.5% | +32% (2023) | −31% (2022) | 25% |
| February | 7 | 4 of 7 | +27.7% | +57.8% | +221% (2023) | −38% (2025) | 71% |
| March | 7 | 4 of 7 | +4.9% | +1.0% | +30% (2021) | −28% (2020) | 71% |
| April | 7 | 3 of 7 | −1.8% | +4.2% | +80% (2021) | −41% (2024) | 100% |
| May | 7 | 2 of 7 | −15.2% | −13.5% | +30% (2020) | −54% (2021) | 48% |
| June | 7 | 1 of 7 | −11.2% | −12.0% | +15% (2023) | −33% (2026) | 14% |
| July | 7 | 5 of 7 | +7.6% | +10.8% | +60% (2021) | −15% (2023) | 25% |
| August | 7 | 3 of 7 | −12.1% | +11.5% | +82% (2026) | −17% (2022) | 100% |
| September | 7 | 2 of 7 | −7.7% | −0.5% | +48% (2026) | −35% (2020) | 48% |
| October | 7 | 2 of 7 | −1.9% | +4.3% | +54% (2021) | −28% (2025) | 48% |
| November | 7 | 4 of 7 | +10.6% | +9.2% | +51% (2020) | −43% (2019) | 71% |
| December | 7 | 2 of 7 | −18.0% | +10.4% | +116% (2023) | −34% (2024) | 48% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 368 | 53% | +0.20% | +0.71% |
| Tuesday | 368 | 49% | −0.17% | +0.23% |
| Wednesday | 368 | 48% | −0.12% | +0.43% |
| Thursday | 368 | 45% | −0.64% | −0.06% |
| Friday | 368 | 48% | −0.09% | +0.06% |
| Saturday | 369 | 49% | 0.00% | −0.15% |
| Sunday | 368 | 46% | −0.34% | +0.20% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.