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Reserve Rights seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, Reserve Rights's best month has been November (+30.2%, higher in 4 of 6 years) and its worst June (−21.4%, higher in 1 of 6). Across all 74 full months, it finished higher 46% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −13.1% | +3.6% | +68% (2021) | −36% (2022) | 69% |
| February | 6 | 3 of 6 | −1.5% | +13.6% | +90% (2024) | −42% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 6 | 4 of 6 | +21.5% | +39.4% | +158% (2024) | −19% (2023) | 42% |
| April | 6 | 3 of 6 | −2.8% | −10.2% | +44% (2025) | −58% (2022) | 100% |
| May | 6 | 1 of 6 | −20.9% | −12.8% | +46% (2024) | −57% (2021) | 23% |
| June | 6 | 1 of 6 | −21.4% | −19.3% | +5% (2022) | −39% (2021) | 23% |
| July | 6 | 3 of 6 | +2.4% | +2.7% | +31% (2021) | −22% (2023) | 100% |
| August | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.4% | +6.8% | +44% (2021) | −8% (2023) | 100% |
| September | 7 | 4 of 7 | +6.8% | −4.1% | +32% (2022) | −66% (2020) | 71% |
| October | 7 | 4 of 7 | +0.6% | +2.8% | +33% (2021) | −24% (2022) | 71% |
| November | 6 | 4 of 6 | +30.2% | +22.2% | +85% (2020) | −43% (2025) | 42% |
| December | 6 | 2 of 6 | −15.9% | −9.6% | +34% (2024) | −42% (2021) | 69% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 324 | 52% | +0.19% | +0.23% |
| Tuesday | 324 | 48% | −0.54% | +0.30% |
| Wednesday | 324 | 46% | −0.58% | +0.08% |
| Thursday | 324 | 45% | −0.57% | −0.04% |
| Friday | 325 | 54% | +0.49% | +0.65% |
| Saturday | 325 | 49% | −0.04% | −0.13% |
| Sunday | 324 | 45% | −0.81% | −0.11% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.