Raydium seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2021, Raydium's best month has been July (+25.0%, higher in 4 of 5 years) and its worst February (−20.1%, higher in 2 of 5). Across all 62 full months, it finished higher 47% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 5 | 2 of 5 | −6.9% | +9.6% | +64% (2023) | −40% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 5 | 2 of 5 | −20.1% | −16.0% | +29% (2023) | −65% (2025) | 100% |
| March | 5 | 3 of 5 | +3.1% | +15.0% | +101% (2024) | −31% (2025) | 67% |
| April | 5 | 3 of 5 | +0.1% | +2.5% | +64% (2025) | −42% (2024) | 67% |
| May | 5 | 2 of 5 | −11.0% | −10.0% | +22% (2024) | −51% (2022) | 100% |
| June | 5 | 1 of 5 | −14.3% | −15.3% | +2% (2024) | −36% (2022) | 38% |
| July | 5 | 4 of 5 | +25.0% | +16.6% | +31% (2022) | −3% (2023) | 19% |
| August | 5 | 2 of 5 | −17.1% | −2.8% | +32% (2026) | −32% (2024) | 100% |
| September | 6 | 3 of 6 | −5.5% | +18.6% | +144% (2026) | −24% (2025) | 100% |
| October | 6 | 3 of 6 | +0.6% | +7.4% | +75% (2024) | −38% (2025) | 100% |
| November | 5 | 3 of 5 | +2.6% | +12.5% | +87% (2023) | −63% (2022) | 67% |
| December | 5 | 1 of 5 | −17.4% | +23.8% | +216% (2023) | −42% (2021) | 38% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 274 | 47% | −0.27% | −0.36% |
| Tuesday | 274 | 45% | −0.65% | −0.45% |
| Wednesday | 275 | 51% | +0.11% | +0.72% |
| Thursday | 275 | 43% | −0.77% | +0.03% |
| Friday | 275 | 49% | −0.21% | +0.57% |
| Saturday | 275 | 50% | 0.00% | +0.51% |
| Sunday | 274 | 44% | −0.65% | +0.07% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.