Prom seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2023, Prom's best month has been February (+26.4%, higher in 2 of 3 years) and its worst January (−18.2%, higher in 1 of 3). Across all 43 full months, it finished higher 56% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3 | 1 of 3 | −18.2% | −27.3% | +19% (2024) | −83% (2026) | 59% |
| February | 3 | 2 of 3 | +26.4% | +20.1% | +58% (2024) | −24% (2026) | 100% |
| March | 3 | 1 of 3 | −4.9% | +5.7% | +37% (2024) | −15% (2026) | 59% |
| April | 4 | 2 of 4 | −3.7% | +16.5% | +112% (2026) | −38% (2024) | 100% |
| May | 4 | 1 of 4 | −7.1% | −10.0% | +25% (2024) | −50% (2026) | 33% |
| June | 4 | 2 of 4 | 0.0% | −4.4% | +15% (2025) | −33% (2024) | 100% |
| July | 4 | 3 of 4 | +18.8% | +18.3% | +48% (2026) | −13% (2024) | 64% |
| August | 4 | 2 of 4 | +1.6% | +54.1% | +232% (2026) | −19% (2024) | 100% |
| September | 4 | 4 of 4 | +7.2% | +8.9% | +19% (2026) | +2% (2023) | 14% |
| October | 4 | 3 of 4 | +4.1% | +1.3% | +9% (2025) | −12% (2026) | 64% |
| November | 3 | 2 of 3 | +6.3% | +3.7% | +18% (2024) | −13% (2025) | 100% |
| December | 3 | 1 of 3 | −5.5% | +2.7% | +23% (2023) | −10% (2024) | 59% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 191 | 50% | 0.00% | −0.03% |
| Tuesday | 191 | 45% | −0.40% | −1.01% |
| Wednesday | 191 | 53% | +0.22% | +0.90% |
| Thursday | 191 | 49% | −0.07% | 0.00% |
| Friday | 191 | 53% | +0.19% | +0.22% |
| Saturday | 192 | 54% | +0.22% | +0.60% |
| Sunday | 191 | 45% | −0.15% | +0.49% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.