Floki signals: which ones have held up
19 common signals tested on every daily FLOKI candle since 5 May 2023 (1,290 days). None of them shows reliable evidence of an effect on the following week. 6 signals did no better than picking days at random.
FLOKI price · last close$0.0000179214 Nov 2026 close: $0.00001792 (7d −16.0%)
RSI (14)26.7under 30
Volume vs 30-day average0.95×3× or more is a spike
Market buys, share of volume58.0%above 50%: buyers lifting offers
From all-time high−95%below the 200-day average
Trading signals, ranked by evidence
| Signal | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% drop in a day | 31 | 23% | −8.2% | −1.9% | 25% | 53 | Weak evidence | 23 Sep 2026 |
| Extreme sell pressure | 24 | 58% | +5.1% | −1.9% | 26% | 50 | Weak evidence | 12 Nov 2026 |
| RSI rises above 70 | 15 | 33% | −9.6% | −1.9% | 36% | 47 | Weak evidence | 22 Sep 2026 |
| 10% jump in a day | 43 | 37% | −2.2% | −1.9% | 98% | 46 | Weak evidence | 21 Sep 2026 |
| Five red days in a row | 21 | 62% | +2.4% | −1.9% | 57% | 43 | Weak evidence | 18 Oct 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, buyers in control | 20 | 50% | +0.7% | −1.9% | 76% | 40 | Weak evidence | 4 Oct 2026 |
| 20% drop in a week | 26 | 42% | −0.8% | −1.9% | 91% | 40 | Weak evidence | 5 Feb 2026 |
| Five green days in a row | 17 | 35% | −5.1% | −1.9% | 73% | 39 | Weak evidence | 6 Aug 2026 |
| RSI drops below 30 | 11 | 36% | −0.4% | −1.9% | 93% | 33 | No better than chance | 25 Jun 2026 |
| Volume spike on a red day | 10 | 30% | −7.8% | −1.9% | 61% | 26 | No better than chance | 22 Aug 2026 |
| Extreme buy pressure | 39 | 36% | −2.5% | −1.9% | 95% | 21 | No better than chance | 8 Nov 2026 |
| Breakdown to a 90-day low | 10 | 50% | +0.6% | −1.9% | 87% | 20 | No better than chance | 29 Jul 2026 |
| Volume spike on a green day | 24 | 46% | −2.0% | −1.9% | 99% | 12 | No better than chance | 21 Sep 2026 |
| Whale footprint: large trades, sellers in control | 19 | 47% | −2.5% | −1.9% | 97% | 11 | No better than chance | 5 Oct 2026 |
| Capitulation: heavy drop on heavy volume | 6 | 50% | +0.2% | −1.9% | 69% | Too few cases | 23 Sep 2026 | |
| Golden cross | 4 | 25% | −4.1% | −1.9% | 73% | Too few cases | 21 Oct 2026 | |
| Death cross | 5 | 40% | −1.8% | −1.9% | 99% | Too few cases | 23 Oct 2026 | |
| Breakout to a 90-day high | 7 | 71% | +8.7% | −1.9% | 6.5% | Too few cases | 8 May 2026 | |
| Volatility squeeze | 9 | 78% | +14.7% | −1.9% | 0.6% | Too few cases | 15 Aug 2026 |
After drops and rallies
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7% drop in a day | 62 | 29% | −5.1% | −1.9% | 38% | 51 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 5% drop in a day | 88 | 32% | −4.0% | −1.9% | 48% | 49 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| 30% rise in 7 days | 19 | 32% | −9.6% | −1.9% | 30% | 49 | Weak evidence | 22 Sep 2026 |
| 5% rise in a day | 91 | 33% | −3.3% | −1.9% | 70% | 48 | Weak evidence | 30 Oct 2026 |
| 7% rise in a day | 70 | 30% | −3.6% | −1.9% | 65% | 48 | Weak evidence | 30 Oct 2026 |
| 30% drop in 30 days | 39 | 46% | −0.6% | −1.9% | 86% | 47 | Weak evidence | 5 Jun 2026 |
| 10% rise in 3 days | 61 | 41% | −3.1% | −1.9% | 82% | 47 | Weak evidence | 18 Sep 2026 |
| 10% drop in 3 days | 63 | 46% | −1.2% | −1.9% | 93% | 46 | Weak evidence | 8 Oct 2026 |
| 20% rise in 7 days | 28 | 43% | −3.3% | −1.9% | 86% | 42 | Weak evidence | 22 Sep 2026 |
| 20% rise in 3 days | 27 | 44% | −3.5% | −1.9% | 84% | 41 | Weak evidence | 21 Aug 2026 |
| 40% drop in 30 days | 14 | 64% | +1.6% | −1.9% | 73% | 38 | Weak evidence | 11 Feb 2026 |
| 15% drop in 7 days | 42 | 33% | −1.7% | −1.9% | 99% | 20 | No better than chance | 18 Oct 2026 |
| 15% drop in 3 days | 30 | 30% | −3.8% | −1.9% | 78% | 19 | No better than chance | 31 Jan 2026 |
| 50% rise in 30 days | 25 | 48% | −0.9% | −1.9% | 93% | 14 | No better than chance | 30 Jul 2025 |
| 15% rise in a day | 15 | 53% | +1.0% | −1.9% | 78% | 13 | No better than chance | 21 Aug 2026 |
| 20% drop in 3 days | 11 | 36% | −3.6% | −1.9% | 91% | 9 | No better than chance | 10 Oct 2025 |
| 15% drop in a day | 9 | 44% | −0.4% | −1.9% | 69% | Too few cases | 5 Feb 2026 | |
| 30% drop in 7 days | 9 | 67% | +9.0% | −1.9% | 3.7% | Too few cases | 10 Oct 2025 | |
| 50% drop in 30 days | 4 | 75% | +2.9% | −1.9% | 46% | Too few cases | 5 Feb 2026 | |
| 50% rise in 7 days | 8 | 50% | +9.3% | −1.9% | 3.3% | Too few cases | 21 Jul 2025 | |
| 100% rise in 30 days | 9 | 44% | −15.1% | −1.9% | 1.0% | Too few cases | 21 Jul 2025 |
When Bitcoin moves
| Condition | Cases | Higher after 7d | Median | Ordinary | By luck | Proof score | Verdict | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin jumps 5% in a day | 30 | 50% | +0.3% | −1.9% | 74% | 44 | Weak evidence | 18 Sep 2026 |
| Bitcoin drops 5% in a day | 21 | 29% | −4.5% | −1.9% | 75% | 40 | Weak evidence | 5 Nov 2026 |
| Bitcoin drops 10% in a day | 1 | 100% | +5.2% | −1.9% | – | Too few cases | 5 Feb 2026 | |
| Bitcoin jumps 10% in a day | 4 | 50% | +12.2% | −1.9% | 6.1% | Too few cases | 6 Feb 2026 |
Returns are measured 7 days after the daily close that confirmed the signal. “Ordinary” is the median 7-day move from any day. How the proof score works.
Seen in the last 30 days
| Date | Signal | Close | +7d |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Extreme sell pressure | $0.00002031 | open |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Extreme buy pressure | $0.00002065 | open |
| 23 Oct 2026 | Death cross | $0.00002374 | +2.6% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | Golden cross | $0.00002461 | −2.4% |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Five red days in a row | $0.00002341 | −2.9% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Death cross | $0.00002418 | −1.8% |
Signals from the most recent daily close are sealed for a day and shown to members first.