Chainlink seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2019, Chainlink's best month has been January (+24.7%, higher in 5 of 7 years) and its worst December (−21.0%, higher in 2 of 7). Across all 93 full months, it finished higher 52% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 7 | 5 of 7 | +24.7% | +26.3% | +101% (2021) | −18% (2026) | 45% |
| February | 8 | 5 of 8 | +6.5% | +3.4% | +44% (2020) | −41% (2025) | 73% |
| March | 8 | 4 of 8 | +2.5% | +0.3% | +20% (2019) | −44% (2020) | 100% |
| April | 8 | 4 of 8 | −1.6% | +2.7% | +63% (2020) | −35% (2022) | 100% |
| May | 8 | 4 of 8 | −0.9% | +13.8% | +115% (2019) | −31% (2022) | 100% |
| June | 8 | 2 of 8 | −10.8% | +16.8% | +231% (2019) | −39% (2021) | 17% |
| July | 8 | 6 of 8 | +18.0% | +15.5% | +71% (2020) | −35% (2019) | 29% |
| August | 8 | 4 of 8 | +2.1% | +15.4% | +100% (2020) | −22% (2023) | 100% |
| September | 8 | 4 of 8 | +3.5% | +4.1% | +39% (2023) | −37% (2020) | 100% |
| October | 8 | 5 of 8 | +8.7% | +11.7% | +54% (2019) | −19% (2025) | 73% |
| November | 7 | 3 of 7 | −2.3% | +8.6% | +67% (2024) | −25% (2025) | 72% |
| December | 7 | 2 of 7 | −21.0% | −12.7% | +5% (2024) | −27% (2022) | 27% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 408 | 50% | +0.05% | +0.27% |
| Tuesday | 408 | 49% | −0.26% | +0.03% |
| Wednesday | 408 | 52% | +0.14% | +0.64% |
| Thursday | 409 | 48% | −0.23% | −0.13% |
| Friday | 409 | 53% | +0.31% | +0.57% |
| Saturday | 409 | 54% | +0.33% | +0.31% |
| Sunday | 408 | 49% | −0.12% | +0.11% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.