Avalanche seasonality: every month and weekday
Going by median return since 2020, Avalanche's best month has been November (+40.4%, higher in 4 of 6 years) and its worst June (−22.9%, higher in 0 of 6). Across all 73 full months, it finished higher 41% of the time.
A handful of years per month is a small sample. The “by luck” column says how easily a record like that would turn up if the month were no different from any other.
By month
| Month | Years | Higher | Median | Average | Best | Worst | By luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6 | 2 of 6 | −8.8% | +55.5% | +323% (2021) | −36% (2022) | 100% |
| February | 6 | 3 of 6 | +5.7% | +10.7% | +78% (2021) | −35% (2025) | 70% |
| March | 6 | 4 of 6 | +9.4% | +8.6% | +32% (2024) | −16% (2025) | 24% |
| April | 6 | 3 of 6 | −0.7% | −9.5% | +14% (2021) | −42% (2022) | 70% |
| May | 6 | 1 of 6 | −9.4% | −17.9% | +10% (2024) | −54% (2022) | 41% |
| June | 6 | 0 of 6 | −22.9% | −22.8% | −8% (2023) | −36% (2022) | 8.8% |
| July | 6 | 3 of 6 | +5.8% | +10.3% | +40% (2022) | −12% (2024) | 70% |
| August | 6 | 3 of 6 | −3.6% | +26.1% | +192% (2021) | −22% (2023) | 70% |
| September | 6 | 4 of 6 | +24.9% | +25.3% | +69% (2021) | −10% (2022) | 24% |
| October | 7 | 2 of 7 | −9.7% | −7.8% | +23% (2023) | −39% (2025) | 71% |
| November | 6 | 4 of 6 | +40.4% | +33.3% | +89% (2023) | −32% (2022) | 24% |
| December | 6 | 1 of 6 | −12.1% | +1.6% | +80% (2023) | −20% (2024) | 41% |
By weekday
| Day (UTC) | Days | Higher | Median daily move | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 320 | 53% | +0.23% | −0.03% |
| Tuesday | 320 | 49% | −0.11% | +0.12% |
| Wednesday | 321 | 47% | −0.40% | +0.51% |
| Thursday | 321 | 45% | −0.58% | −0.27% |
| Friday | 321 | 53% | +0.30% | +0.61% |
| Saturday | 321 | 53% | +0.20% | +0.48% |
| Sunday | 320 | 46% | −0.40% | −0.12% |
A month's return runs from the open of its first daily candle to the close of its last (UTC). Only full months are counted. Daily moves are close to close.